Recent comments in /f/Futurology

twohammocks t1_jeffhwu wrote

Doesnt anyone remember/foresee deepwater horizon? Ten years later, BP oil spill continues to harm wildlife—especially dolphins https://www.nationalgeographic.com/animals/article/how-is-wildlife-doing-now--ten-years-after-the-deepwater-horizon A decade after the BP oil spill: Sick fish, Gulf pollution, and human health problems - Florida Phoenix https://floridaphoenix.com/2020/04/16/a-decade-after-the-bp-oil-spill-sick-fish-gulf-pollution-and-human-health-problems/

Instead of new dirty oil projects, why not harness the sheer volume of water falling off greenland ?

'At peak melt Saturday, meltwater runoff rates clocked in as high as 12 billion tons per day — easily ranking as one of the top 10 largest runoff events on record, said climate scientist Xavier Fettweis.' For first time on record, Greenland saw extensive melting in September - The Washington Post https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/09/06/greenland-ice-melt-heat-wave-summer/

Sometimes I wonder if 420ppm CO2 in the atmosphere is already impacting human cognition. Oh wait. It is. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019GH000237

Edit: Removed some duplication

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youreblockingmyshot t1_jeffctb wrote

The PSI is much higher on the coolant. Makes the unit more expensive and require a little more engineering. However it does make it so it can heat things much better. Like bringing water to just below boiling which normal heat pumps don’t do as efficiently/ at all.

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chth t1_jefevrx wrote

Another fun story, electrical discharge machining or EDM was independently developed in the USSR and USA at the same time, but for extremely different reasons.

In the USSR they had an abundance of tungsten which is incredibly hard to machine using cutting tools, being as cutting tools are made of softer or equally hard materials most notably tungsten carbide. To make use of the tungsten, EDM was the only process available. In turn many structures and aircraft from the period have parts that would be extremely financially irresponsible to produce in the USA.

However the USA at the time had developed aluminum to build lightweight structures and products across basically every industry and the only problem they faced was that their tools kept breaking inside the relatively soft metal. The solution for this issue was using EDM to burn the broken tool bits out of the workpiece.

Now EDM is used for many purposes beyond these two, and you'd piss off an EDM machinist if you asked them to stop what they were doing to get a broken tap out of something.

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FuturologyBot t1_jefeb2m wrote

The following submission statement was provided by /u/acutelychronicpanic:


It is critical that AI development not be concentrated in the hands of only a few big players. Large corporations, military research labs, and authoritarian regimes will not pause their research, only hide it. There is too much on the table.

By enabling the distribution the development of AI research, particularly with regards to alignment, we can ensure that AI will be more likely to serve everyone.

Concentrated development amplifies the risks of AI catastrophe by setting up a fragile system where, when AGI is developed, even a minor misalignment may be unfix-able because there are no counterbalancing forces.

Distributed development means that yes, there will be more instances of mistakes and misuse, but these will be more limited in scope and less likely to lead to total human extinction or subjugation by an AGI system that *almost* shares our views.

We may be some years off from real AGI now, which is why this is a critical time to ensure the distribution of the technology to prevent any single factions or actors from acquiring such a lead that they can set the terms of our future.

The above are my thoughts on the matter and do not represent the exact views of LAION, although there is overlap.


Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/127q9vm/petition_for_keeping_up_the_progress_tempo_on_ai/jefa2tg/

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mhornberger t1_jefdg1v wrote

I love the series. But the whole premise rested on the Minds, basically inscrutable god-like AIs who ran everything and prevented any humans from taking over or doing too much damage. Though you also had the Affront and the Pavuleans (from Surface Detail) to show other paths civilizations could have gone down. But without the Minds, strong AI, you don't get the post-scarcity economy.

It's not a given that there's a line leading from ChatGPT to strong AI. It's not a given that we're going to let AIs improve themselves in a feedback loop without our oversight every step of the way, nor is it a given that if we did you'd get benevolent God-like AIs who kept us around out of some vague sense of nostalgia and respect.

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DM_me_ur_tacos t1_jefbrxf wrote

Lithium is lithium. As recycled lithium comes onto the market there will be increasing opportunity for battery manufacturers to use it.

There are already robust salvage markets for copper, steel, aluminum and other valuable, recyclable metals. Auto manufacturers do not necessarily have to do this themselves.

Yes it will cost energy to recycle lithium batteries, and that cost is expected to be small compared to the value of the recovered material.

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AgentTin t1_jefblzn wrote

Too many people in the desert using too much water. Farming is the biggest culprit. A long time ago they made a plan to distribute the water but they gave away too much even then. The problem has become worse because there hasn't been enough rain in the region for, like, a decade. Now unless people agree to stop using water the place could become uninhabitable, at least for the number of people who want to live there.

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acutelychronicpanic OP t1_jefa2tg wrote

It is critical that AI development not be concentrated in the hands of only a few big players. Large corporations, military research labs, and authoritarian regimes will not pause their research, only hide it. There is too much on the table.

By enabling the distribution of the development of AI research, particularly with regards to alignment, we can ensure that AI will be more likely to serve everyone.

Concentrated development amplifies the risks of AI catastrophe by setting up a fragile system where, when AGI is developed, even a minor misalignment may be unfix-able because there are no counterbalancing forces.

Distributed development means that yes, there will be more instances of mistakes and misuse, but these will be more limited in scope and less likely to lead to total human extinction or subjugation by an AGI system that *almost* shares our views.

We may be some years off from real AGI now, which is why this is a critical time to ensure the distribution of the technology to prevent any single factions or actors from acquiring such a lead that they can set the terms of our future.

The above are my thoughts on the matter and do not represent the views of LAION (which I am not affiliated with), although there is overlap.

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RiiCreated t1_jef8vei wrote

That’s cool :) but to play Devils Advocate here, what incentive would the auto manufacturers have to switch to this method? I’m assuming 100% of EVs right now will come off the production line with brand new batteries, especially Teslas since they have a deal with Panasonic. How many will have to be manufactured with 100% mined lithium before we can close this loop? Wouldn’t everyone need to own at least one EV before this is possible?

Also, the cost and energy required to recycle these things. Who’s paying for it? And once enough lithium is mined to have a closed loop, how will we offset the damage and pollution caused by raw mining and how long will that take?

Genuine questions, not trying to sound like a bad guy.

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dnadude t1_jef8sba wrote

There's a whole think tank report on this technology trend and the consequences. I don't know if they are a little optimistic on the timelines, but the science and economics is sound.

I used ChatGPT to combine data from this report and the USDA Ag census to do a back of the envelop calculation on how much water will be saved in a certain region and what would happen if most of that water made it back to the dying lake it was diverted from.

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