Recent comments in /f/dataisbeautiful

bradland t1_j2yc6w7 wrote

Reply to comment by TrueBirch in 2022 Asset Return [OC] by rosetechnology

The key point is that the past does not always predict the future. This is literally the disclaimer at the bottom of every credible financial analysis you'll ever find. The belief that the stock market will always go up over the long term is as much hocus-pokus as it is sound financial theory.

I'm not offering any specific advice here. I'm not suggesting one should/shouldn't invest in the market. I'm simply pointing out that "the line has always gone up so it will continue to go up" is not a sound basis of reasoning.

1

Jasonbluefire OP t1_j2yaoiv wrote

2022 Dec winter event power outage summary:

Max customers out at one time:

1.6 Million

Estimated total customers affected:

USA: 6.35 Million

NC: 940k - 17.9%

TN: 710k - 23.5%

ME: 380k - 43.8%

PA: 360k - 5.7%

GA, VA, TX, NY, OH, NH, SC: 200k-300k

AL, KY, CT, MD, MA, VT, WA, NJ: 100k-200k


Data Source:

https://poweroutage.us/

Tool:

Custom Mapbox map webpage


If you have any questions on the data or the website let me know!

8

jubilant-barter t1_j2ya5wh wrote

If you're doing science, you can't rely on "obvious" to be your answer.

You still need to test your assumptions. Sometimes common sense is just wrong. Besides, some of this may simply be the fact that granular data wasn't available before.

New techniques, broader availability of mobile devices and internet connectivity, it could be that the ability to break down granular data simply wasn't possible in a lot of countries.

And even further, what are the patterns which we can learn help people live longer, better lives? Is the divide exclusively rural vs urban or are there other considerations.

1

TrueBirch t1_j2y7gwc wrote

If you had gotten in right at the beginning, you could have made massive returns. I recently modeled the 5-year returns based on sale date. The days of getting filthy rich from buying $100 of Bitcoin are long past. If Bitcoin soared to $100,000 by the end of next year, you'd have roughly a 100% return over three years. There are plenty of penny stocks that offer a similar risk/reward profile.

3

Tokipudi t1_j2y5hi6 wrote

>"excluding Google, YT, FB, other search engines and other inappropriate sites for a more insightful map"

Either you exclude every:

  • Search engines
  • Social media
  • Video sharing platforms

or you don't exclude any.

Excluding Facebook but allowing Twitter makes no sense to me.

1

dml997 t1_j2y4q57 wrote

What does return of dollar mean? Measured in what? Why is that base a better measurement of value than the dollar?

If dollar is measured against some other metric, then all other assets should be measured against the same one for consistency. Are they? Is US equities measured against same metric as US dollar?

1