Recent comments in /f/dataisbeautiful

j_cruise t1_j3rrhes wrote

Sorry, I didn't know much comment would upset you. I thought you'd find it interesting.

Basically, even though melatonin can provide great short term treatment, there's a strong risk of relapse when left to your own devices. Your brain is sinply hard coded to a particular sleep schedule. However, it's not really a big deal, because you can function just fine with an alarm clock. Plus, you can find work that works with your natural schedule.

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LordFaquaad t1_j3rqk9v wrote

The difference is that roulette is a game of chance and investing in good companies isn't. That's the entire thesis behind value investing which buffett followed. The luck he talks about is getting in at the right time and exiting at the right time.

Speculation happens in the market but the only people that really benefit are the HFT traders, hedge funds and quantfunds / banks due to the trade volume/ speed of transaction. The market isn't based so much on chance as people think especially if you have enough money to move the direction of the stock

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urgjotonlkec t1_j3rp7w7 wrote

Not really. Let's say you go to Vegas with $10,000 and put it all on black at the roulette table. There's a roughly 50% chance you double your money and 50% chance you lose it all. Win 23 times in a row and you will almost 110 Billion. That sounds extreme unlikely, but if ever US adult did it you would expect to have made 20 people succeed. Ironically that's roughly the same order of magnitude of centi-billionaires in the US.

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EAS893 t1_j3royuu wrote

What money are you referencing? Do you just mean the fact that he had parents capable of taking care of him?

I'm asking, because having read a decent bit about this particular guy, I don't remember anything that stuck out to me in his life as a "windfall" of sorts like you're describing aside from just being born to a family with political connections.

It legitimately didn't seem like he had much handed to him that the average upper middle class person wouldn't have also had handed to them. There's privilege from being from that background for sure, but most upper middle class people don't become multi-billionaires.

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EAS893 t1_j3rnw03 wrote

I don't think that's accurate.

His first fund started with something like 100k in around 1950 which is something like 1.2 million today, but it wasn't a "gift" it was assets under management he convinced investors to let him manage for them.

He definitely has a lot of privilege from his background. He's literally the son of a multiterm US House of Representative member and has attended multiple Ivy League Universities. He had connections to be able to find those investors that were mostly luck and circumstances of birth, and if you listen to any interviews with the guy you'll hear that he acknowledges this "ovarian lottery" as he calls it.

That said, with his returns, he still would have ended up wealthy even without those initial investors and just investing his own money, it just probably wouldn't be centibillionaire level wealthy.

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