Recent comments in /f/dataisbeautiful

iamansonmage t1_j7qnt7q wrote

They really need to look at more than just hours watched! Yes, I watched it. No, I did not enjoy it. It’s almost like they have a thumbs up button that could determine if people actually thought it was good or something. Just because I was duped into watching it by your marketting team doesn’t mean I liked it. 🤷‍♂️ Red Notice was garbage.

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cox_ph t1_j7qng3p wrote

Since you're using basketball-reference.com, it's worth noting that there is a way that you can actually use data from the site to account for projected future stats for a given player.

They use similarity scores (see here for Michael Jordan for example) to match each player with 10 additional players with similar career arcs. You can then use average over those 10 players for points scored for subsequent seasons (using only players that actually played subsequent seasons, which would fit the assumption that Michael Jordan played additional seasons). This would give a rough approximation for how many points Michael Jordan would be expected to score if he continued to play, based on career arcs of similar players.

While it's not perfect, it's far better than assuming that players would continue scoring at peak levels indefinitely.

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ben505 t1_j7ql7oo wrote

Two true things:

  1. if the Bulls team hadn’t fallen apart and MJ didn’t retire the second time, he would have passed Kareem

2 Lebron still would eventually be the scoring champion because he is not human.

Not only physically, which that in its own is truly mindboggling, but also dealing with the mental and emotional stressors of being a low key god among men. In this decade fame is even more intense. MJ bounced twice in primarily because of the mental and external stressors. This is why sustained greatness for THAT long is so absurd and difficult. Lebron is gunna scoot past and build on that lead for at least 2 more full seasons plus the remainder of this year, and he’s still averaging 30 points a game while also never being someone unwilling to share the ball. It’s just insane.

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dcd4408 OP t1_j7qhpqe wrote

19th and 20th seasons, respectively, with avg scoring rates that wouldn't have surpassed the record mark by the 20th season (where LeBron and Kareem set their records), and 11th and 12th on the ppg avg. list, which excluded them from this list.

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Jdog131313 t1_j7qh1r7 wrote

The projections are obviously not realistic. Every player is projected to increase their scoring rate if they kept playing compared to the last season they played. You probably should have just used the rate they scored at for their final season or fit some type of exponential function if you wanted to get fancy.

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