Recent comments in /f/dataisbeautiful

iceytomatoes t1_iyoopbx wrote

Reply to [OC] Birth months of FIFA World Cup players. The top three are January, February and March, possibly due to the "Relative age effect" by desfirsit

i thought there was a bigger divide actually, this looks less extreme than i would expect, are different countries perhaps using different date cutoffs? i'd want to see it by country for that reason

someone posted hockey stats and i thought i'd seen them in the past and saw a more extreme divide as well, it's a lot less than i remember

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Languid_lizard t1_iyoo4ik wrote

Reply to [OC] Results of 50,000 World Cup Knockout Simulations by mathsTeacher82

Interesting. You can compare to the actual betting odds shown below. The simulator seems to treat the underdogs a little more favorably.

Brazil 27.3%

Argentina 16.1%

France 14.8%

Spain 11.8%

England 8.9%

Portugal 6.8%

Netherlands 4.7%

Croatia 2.5%

Japan 1.3%

Switzerland 1.3%

Morocco 1.1%

USA 1.0%

Senegal 0.9%

South Korea 0.6%

Poland 0.5%

Australia 0.4%

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fifaBeastFC t1_iyonp53 wrote

Reply to [OC] Results of 50,000 World Cup Knockout Simulations by mathsTeacher82

I have a question; for example the Netherlands. If I read this correctly the Netherlands will reach the quarter finals in 59% and the semi finals in 35%. That means that there is a 63% chance the Netherlands wins the quarter finals when reached. But If I also do the same calculation for Argentina (66% quarter and 40% semi) they also win the quarter finals 60% of the times when reached.

How is it possible that Both the Netherlands AND Argentina wins the quarter final more than 50% of the time. When reached.

Also; if you sum up the possibilities of the 4 countries (the Netherlands, Argentina, USA and Australia) to reach the semi finals I get 107%. Shouldn't this be 100% since its only possible that one country out of these four reach the semi finals

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stumblewiggins t1_iyomtjk wrote

Reply to comment by windershinwishes in [OC] Number of Union Army Units/Companies during the American Civil War. by BLAZENIOSZ

>It's honestly kind of troubling how we've all started using the terms "blue state" and "red state". It's so easy to simplify millions of people into colors on a map.

Mostly it's just a shorthand to identify who they will likely vote for. Time was more states were swing states or "purple" states, but now most of them are almost preordained given the gerrymandering and polarization.

I'm less troubled by the shorthand than by why it's become so reliable

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aj55raptor t1_iyoj3gp wrote

Reply to comment by Lord_Bobbymort in [OC] Birth months of FIFA World Cup players. The top three are January, February and March, possibly due to the "Relative age effect" by desfirsit

It's actually the opposite. January and February are the highest above and for hockey, because these kids are usually more physically developed than peers. This leads to being selected for elite camps/teams earlier, which compounds throughout their lives. Another cool economics type phenomenon in soccer (may no longer be true), a study was done early 2000s, there's a perfect balance of wealth of parents on average for professional soccer players in Brazol: enough that their nutrition is never sacrificed, but not enough money for structured programs after school, means they're fit but also non stop playing street soccer.

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Maycrofy t1_iyoj0dy wrote

Reply to comment by TaftIsUnderrated in [OC] Canadian immigrant population by place of birth by Kep_

Currently doing my process from LATAM. It's difficult to do it. Not only do you need the right qualifications on the right degree, but also an amount of money that takes years to gather on the local salaries.

I assume this is why china and India are so prominent. STEM degrees with a culture of savings translates to lots of immigrants with the right degrees and savings.

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AverageCowboyCentaur t1_iyoiy5g wrote

Reply to comment by adzman in [OC] Number of Union Army Units/Companies during the American Civil War. by BLAZENIOSZ

That was a crazy race. The polling locations cut their voting machines by half or more. I still don't understand why they did that. And it wasn't just in big cities It was everywhere even in the rural areas. I had friends out in Delta and down in Kalida both say their polling locations only had a couple machines when they used to have 8 to 10.

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