Recent comments in /f/explainlikeimfive

CptPicard t1_je1s274 wrote

I have a genetic issue that influences collagen synthesis in the body, and every now and then some other people with my condition try to "medicate" themselves by eating collagen. No way that will ever do anything as the stuff does not go into the body as is. It's broken up and new collagen is built from available raw materials, using the messed up process.

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gordonjames62 t1_je1hwsn wrote

Hi!

We don't actually have any way of knowing.

It feels like you are making one of the many variations of the gamblers fallacy.

Here is what we would need to know to predict odds.

  • Number of bingo cards you hold.
  • Total number of bingo cards distributed.

Any special cases for winning aside from simply first to get 5 in a row (that might skew the odd to encourage people to buy/play more cards).

If you held 10 out of 1000 cards in play your likelihood of getting any win condition first would be 10/1000 or 1%.

If you continued to play these odds 100 times, you would likely win once.

Past actions do not change the odds of future games.

Since "the house" usually gets a part of the take, this means your likelihood of losing is bigger than your chance of winning.

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LurkerMD t1_je1hqv6 wrote

I think all these answers are off base. People are trying to calculate the chance of getting 5 in a row, which depends on the numbers,etc…

But every bingo game ends once someone gets Bingo. Assuming everyone has an equal chance of winning, the. Your chance of winning depends only on the number of players.

If you were playing bingo with one person, your probability of winning is 50% (ignoring the possibility of ties)

If you’re playing bingo with 100 people your chance of winning is 1%.

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Twin_Spoons t1_je19lu7 wrote

You'd probably need to provide some more information on the exact rules you play by. For example, if the rules are "Draw balls until someone wins" then each person has a roughly equal chance to win. If you are playing with N total people, that is 1/N. Play alone, and you're certain to win. Play with one other opponent and you will win 1/2 the time. And so on.

But your 20% win rate suggests that you're either playing with small crowds or by some other rules.

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I_Fap_To_LoL_Champs t1_je18oyi wrote

There is in fact a lot of animal and clinical evidence that supports collagen hydrolysate (assuming this is what you meant by active collagen) supplementation for skin aging: Recent progress in preventive effect of collagen peptides on photoaging skin and action mechanism

The human digestion is a slow process catalyzed by digestive enzymes. Short collagen chains can be absorbed quickly into the blood stream while longer collagen chains are too big to be absorbed and are mixed with the digestive enzymes and broken down into peptides. Collagen hydrolysate are made by using heat or acid to controllably partially digest long collagen fibrils into shorter chains for fast absorption. Aging skin produces less collagen. The wrinkling we see on old people's faces are caused by this change in the material composition of their skin. The short collagen chains travel through the blood stream to the skin and are incorporated into cell-produced collagen fibers, making up for the loss of collagen production caused by aging.

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rwkgaming t1_je153lw wrote

So the reason you are getting a different answer online is because you are likely just doing your odds of winning or rather just your win/los ratio which is far different from the actual probability.

The actual probability is based on the amount of balls in the game and your card. There is a specific calculation for getting the odds for when you then remove odds from the pool which is what you get online.

You could also simplify it and base it on which card you pick at which point it would be 1/x where x is the number of cards since there always has to be one person to win

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