Recent comments in /f/newhampshire

RoadAdventures t1_j4mp5qb wrote

> but in most cases you could make reasonable assumptions about 2nd and 3rd choices, and try some simulations or something.

That is not what I was suggestion - those would be the assumptions that would lead to pure guesswork as results.

I was talking about monitoring the actual results from states or towns that are using the specific voting methods that are discussed.

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svenGhoulie t1_j4mghea wrote

RE: End of contract price hikes. I am not here to argue, but it appears my experience with Direct Energy is different than that of some posters. I have been with them for at least 10 years and have never experienced an end of contract price hike. Each time my contract expires, they renew it at the existing rate. I am presently paying 0.07kWh.

It is possible that the way they are allowed to bill is different from state to state, but, again, in NH, never had a price hike.

Also, their "locked in" rates are locked in at their end. If you are in a 3 year contract and choose to leave for a better price, there is no hassle.

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PurpleVermont t1_j4m87sh wrote

I don't know if you could do anything useful with past polling results, since that only gives a person's first choice, but in most cases you could make reasonable assumptions about 2nd and 3rd choices, and try some simulations or something.

Most of the examples you have 3-4 candidates that are all almost equally liked. That may be more likely in a primary than a general election.

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RoadAdventures t1_j4m5qx4 wrote

> But until someone convinces me that these are extremely unlikely to happen IRL

That's hard to prove without real life examples.

At the end of the day, one can use the one voter in those examples to stand in for a group of people that decides to vote a certain way and the math will hold.

And it would be tough to predict future voter behavior without actual results from real elections - can only speculate so much before one's assumptions become unrealistic.

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