Recent comments in /f/newhampshire

TheCloudBoy OP t1_j5yvd9p wrote

There are a couple of open fallacies in this that I need to address.

"Models are probabilistic": Incorrect. The majority of our guidance (including what you see above) is deterministic, governed complex differential equations. I'm building a statistical weather model at my job, so I'd hope I know the difference.

Skillful meteorologists understand the limitations of each guidance system, their biases, and make forecasts from there. One on display overnight was understanding how models fail to capture warm air advection and smaller features like robust dry air correctly. That's why you saw such a low forecast contrary to most others. Not only was it right, it wasn't aggressive enough but ultimately applied these principles.

Why did I not worry about a lot of wet snow? Simple: the snow growth sucked & the magnitude of warm air advection would easily overpower cold air, so the result would be a rapid transition to ice & rain. That minimizes power outages, which is what we saw.

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akmjolnir t1_j5ypd0x wrote

If you've seen the x-rays of people who've been in car accidents with their feet up on the dashboard when the airbags deploy, you'll have a good idea of what it'd look like to have your cat small annoying dog force-fed into your abdominal cavity.

People that let their stupid fur-babies run around freely on the inside of their moving vehicles earn all the results they set in motion.

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akmjolnir t1_j5ynjxr wrote

Gunnection (offshoot of r/GAFS) is free, and allows FFL sales.

Armslist is good/local, but idiots never put their edited contact info in the item description so people not wanting to pay for an "upgraded" scam account to buy items have no way to contact.

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