Submitted by careerbeaver t3_110bm9u in personalfinance

EDIT: I did some more math after factoring in some things that you all have contributed. Thank you very much for your responses.

Option 1: rent the units

Income

Unit 1 income: $2100

Unit 2 income: $1800

Total income: $3900

Expenses (both units combined)

Taxes, insurance, interest (removes principal as it is equity, not expense): $2880

Utilities: $76

Management fee (10%): $390

Monthly hard expenses: $3348

NOI: $552

Further cash outlays budgeting (I have 20k cash saved for things like this, so maybe this doesn't go into cash flow analysis):

Vacancy (8%): $312

Maintenance/repairs (5%): $195

Capex (5%): $195

Total cash outlay incl above allowances: $4,050

Net income: $-150

Option 2: Sell the units

Assumed sale price for both units: $700k

Down payment on Unit 1: $21,000

Closing costs Unit 1: $5,900

Additional cash spent on improvements to Unit 1: $28,200

Down payment on Unit 2: $101,250

Closing costs Unit 2: $5,600

Proceeds from sale (sale price - mortgage balances - closing costs 10%): $-62,000

Net result from sale after all cash outlays: $-224,000

Okay yeah. Breaking it down this way makes renting seem like the best option by a HUGE margin.

ORIGINAL POST

I bought both sides of a duplex in Denver in March 2022. It turns out I bought at the very top of the market and now I'm under water. I'm moving to Illinois in a couple weeks and need to decide what to do with this property.

What metrics would you use to make this decision? What advice can you offer? I can't figure out if the negative monthly cashflow is worth eating for an appreciation-strong market like Denver.

Here's my financial situation:

---UNIT 1--- 2 bed 1 bath 870 sq ft (I currently live here, will be moving out March)

Purchase price: $415,000

Down payment: 5%

Mortgage balance today: $388,321

Interest rate: 3.75%

Mortgage pmt (PITI): $2,100

Estimated rent value: approx $2,100

Additional monthly expenses: $580 (8% vacancy, 5% capex, 5% maintenance, 10% management company)

Net monthly cash flow if I keep it: $-630

Estimated sale price: one realtor told me $350k, one told me $400k. 3 similar size homes in my neighborhood sold for $280k, $370k, $410k within the last 3 months

---Unit 2--- 2 bed 1 bath 860 sq ft (I inherited a tenant, he plans to move out May 2023)

Purchase price: $405,000

Down payment: 25%

Mortgage balance today: $303,750

Interest rate: 4.875%

Mortgage pmt (PITI): $1,800

Estimated rent value: currently renting for $1,800, probably not worth much more than that

Additional monthly expenses: $500 (8% vacancy, 5% capex, 5% maintenance, 10% management company)

Net monthly cash flow if I keep it: $-540

Estimated sale price: similar to Unit 1, let's say $350k

---Takeaway---

Net monthly cash flow combined: $-1,170

Net proceeds from sale of both units (assume 700k sale price, 10% selling costs): $-62,070

What do I do with this information? I can't seem to derive a decision out of it, they both seem bad.

2

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