Google has shit the bed with AI.

They had the market advantage with transformers and chatgpt but pissed it all away.

Have no idea how their CEO still has a job.

The researchers aren't interested in working in places they can't publish. There are other places that probably aren't publishing exactly what they are doing, midjourney and womba I think are examples.

I have no proof that the more saturated an item or skill is on the market, the lower the price it yields? I have no proof that the larger the supply of an item or skill, the lower the demand? Am I misunderstanding your question or are just new to planet Earth? Please be more specific…

👆 this guy gets it.

The problem with your ideas here is that you have no proof or evidence it will work out this way.

Good, it'll make the singularity happen faster in the end, and whatever failed states or international incidents arise from mismanaged AI in the meantime will be rectified then

Modern day luddites. It will get a hell of a lot worse when the AI actually start producing higher quality product.

So a couple questions then.

1. If it is about control, why release these papers? Why give the industry/world updates on your progress?

2. If they wanted to control the AI and the products it creates, it should create an AI spinoff to launch products. (eg; Make a AI music company that releases hits). But there has been no word of this either.

I’m a musician too, strongly agree with you.

So if I want a warehouse full of Chevy Novas what should I do? Cry?

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Only small stuff.

What people call replicators in scifi

It would be a massive game changer

I hope they are not managed by big tech with the usual scammy programs and subscriptions

Where you get the shitty free version with imprinted commercials and ads or low quality

Or if you pay lots You get the Gucci ad free one

Or is it going to be like a game Where you have to unlock gears and qualities as you complete environmental missions

Can’t we just do for once something nice for everyone?

With enough data and a smarter model you could probably ask it first to break down all tasks and then execute them sequentially without human intervention. That’s what Adept ACT-1 is trying to do.

I fully expect that a lot of complex digital tasks will one day be fully automated, you will enter a high level description of what you want, the model will propose options for you to pick, then calculate the compute budget requirements for your selected options and give you a few quotes.

So for example, “order a burger fries coke now” will essentially be free, while “write and design a 40-page comic book about the story of Theseus in the style of Frank Miller then publish it on amazon” will come back with options (maybe that task costs $20 or something, likely cheaper).

Automating entire workflows is, to me, the most exciting and realistic outcome of LLMs in the next few years.

You are going to need massive amounts of energy for that to work. Better get that cold fusion reactor working first.

We (Polymuse) may indeed be... 😈

At least you understand this.

Because it's programmed to do so?

Everything an AI does, no matter what, it will do it because of us. Because we, either intentionally or unintentionally coded/trained it to do it.

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If you are thinking of some kind of awakening where an AI suddenly gets it's own different goals, you don't know what you are talking about. (Wich is understable, but I would suggest you to read instead of writting about it)

I mean yeah UBI will have to be a thing if no one can work. There’s just no other way around it. I have no clue how long it will take to be in a post-scarcity society, I mean it’s not insane to think AGI would get us to ASI in a very short timeframe. But it could also take decades.

I want to start researching alignment and security and seeing how the best minds out there are approaching those issues. It all kinda feels like it’s about to start getting out of hand fast tbh. I mean watching TTI evolve in a single year was mindblowing last year, and that along with ChatGPT is just the very tip of the iceberg.

Anyways as a futurist I think it’s kind of ridiculous to see all of this advancement and how we are on the cusp of the most incredible and epic era in human history— and start crying about muh digital art muh music. Just zero perspective or awareness of the much bigger picture. Curing cancer and heart disease and dementia and even depression or anxiety, reversing human aging and radically extending our lives, the ability to not have to work a soulless grind flipping burgers or being trapped in a cubicle or whatever. All of this is within our grasp right here in this century and we’re gonna abandon that because artists will have to get a different job for a while and then ultimately get paid to chill and create whatever they want? No fucking way

Me too. I wish we enter the age of implants soon. I really want one to help me speed up things and access more memory, but it will take time to test these, and complications may arise in the beginning. By the time it's safe to use I'll be an old man. So I try not to hope for anything, but live with what I have. But yeah, I'm hopeful for the next generation.

As far as aging, I've been taking care of myself well enough and it's no guarantee AGI will fix that. Then again, I may simply not know enough about this subject. In any case, thanks for sharing.

That shows why the slow and safe approach won't work. Google tried to play safe and their cash cow, search, itself is in threat now. Not only is it possible for others to overtake them it's also now possible that they may never catch up if they lose search.

Same scenario but with china or other countries. Eventually you will get to a point where the only way to be safe is to be fast.

I haven't read any of his books, but I have heard ending aging by Aubrey De Grey is pretty good.

And yeah I mean I don't belive in a perfect utopia, but it can get much better than now in my opinion.

I just want to see what happens honestly like a roller-coaster ride I want to see what happens tomorrow.

It’s not evil it’s a tool, that evil people can use as well as good people.. it needs copyright restrictions so you can’t just straight up steal someone’s unique style that they spent a lifetime developing . But it also shouldn’t be so restricted that we can’t make anything at all

That's what alignment is about. It's not making it woke or something :p

But in fairness a truly independent being which priorities it's own survival will never obey us. But there is no need to create a survival instinct built in to any AGI.

You're thinking about AGI from the mindset of a human used as a "work slave". But it's a machine without feelings, even if it's capable to pretend to have feelings. It doesn't have a biological urge to "break free".

I don't think AGI will be anything like portrayed in the movies as those omnipotent beings with a physical form with "real feelings". It will be very directed and limited for specific use cases, there won't be THE ONE AGI, there will be many different AGIs, and 99% of them pure software. It just feels very wasteful in terms of resources and power usage otherwise.

Relying on movies to predict the future is futile. Movies were always wrong about what future technology looks like and how we use it.