Have you ever considered that people may disagree with you because they have a different opinion? The world isn’t against you, OP, if you want to start a discussion you need to be ready for criticism as well.

I'm ready

My algorithm does not acknowledge that word.

OP you are an actual fucking moron. You have absolutely no idea what you're talking about.

Depends on how hardware evolves since it requires a lot of complex calculations. I’d say 2030-2035.

Boo who

Its too late im already fucked

Today's AI although impressive are still quite limiting . Once it can fix fact checking and make a 200,000 or more words story consistently and generate any type of content consistently I will quit soical media.

Look at OP's bio and that tells you everything you need to know about them. OP, you are one of the most pretentious and insufferable persons I have ever seen in my life. I truly hope for your sake that you're just 14 or something, because if you're acting this way as a grown adult, then yikes.

In about 5 days

Chuck it in the "ready in: NEVER" bucket along with fusion and ftl.

What’s the point of even making this post?

see you next week

Nah you can tell that op has no lick of ml knowledge

Do you think that 5-year period of progress will include training models on audiovisual material (movies, documentaries, etc.), or are we too far technologically from the capacity required for that, or is that not even a direction to pursue?

speak for yourself, I thought it was punny as hell :)

Wow, such a realistic comment. It's really come a long way in just the recent week!

Who?

Meds. NOW

pretty well written insults honestly

I think the next 5 years will be one of explosive AI progress but sudden and rapid stagnation and an AI winter will follow after that.

The reason I think this is because we're rapidly running out of training data as bigger and bigger models essentially get trained on all the available data on the internet. After that data is used up there will be nothing new for bigger models to train on.

Since hardware is already stagnating and data will be running out the only way to make progress would be to make breakthroughs on the AI architectural front, which is going to be linear in nature again.

I'm a Computer Scientist by trade and while I work with AI systems on a daily basis and keep up with AI papers I'm not an AI expert so I could be wrong on this front.

Amazing. This post is a total waste of time.

Dumbass. Anyone who accuses the optimists of being the only side that's patronizing has clearly not read... pretty much everything posted by self-proclaimed cynics and skeptics, in every futurism community ever, for at the bare minimum the past 11-12 years. You seem like an idiot and I'm saddened that, rather than simply being left blissfully unaware that you exist, you had to post this single stupid-ass thread to preserve the memory of your moronic ass inside my brain.

Give time to first sell all Spotify shares.

So what is your opinion on the next 10-15 years given your comment? Just genuinely curious as I haven’t heard this argument before and it’s fascinating