Recent comments in /f/singularity

DarkCeldori t1_j6bge0g wrote

Moores law is about miniaturization of transistors and doubling of transistor count. It is true we also used to get significant clock speed increases that we no longer do. But moores law didnt stop it only slowed down from every 18 months to every 2.5 years or something like that this happened last decade as a result of constant delays in the development of extreme ultraviolet lithography equipment but that is now solved and it is back to every 18 months iirc.

But thanks to moores law and koomeys law continuing we have seen constant increases in energy efficiency and computational power.

We are indeed facing some significant issues still some parts such as sram which is vital for cache sizes iirc have stopped scaling. Also it seems the reduction in cost per transistor has slowed or perhaps even ended recently. Microsoft estimated they wouldnt get cost reduction from moving to newer smaller transistors and thus chose to do two versions of xbox a cheap and an expensive one from the start.

If cost reduction is not solved we could be in serious trouble. As clearly a doubling of transistors requires at least a halving of transistor cost to be viable.

1

DarkCeldori t1_j6beu4r wrote

What are you talking about? Ca akg preliminary data appears to show it reverses epigenetic age by years, and epigenetic changes appear to be the cause of aging. Resveratrol basically halts age related changes in gene expression in the heart, keeping it young indefinitely.

Sinclair is bringing blindness treatment to clinical trials within 1 or 2 years iirc.

Alzheimer progress was halted by melatonin in one case study in another it also halted parkinsons. Regrowth of teeth is already in animal trials. As for organs it is likely we can use embryonic development for that and do humanized chimeras in pigs, the research is already quite advanced.

Cancer within years a company doing transfusions from cancer immune humans to normal humans will bring a product to market. There are also nanoparticle sponges from another company that appears highly effective.

True nanobots are likely to be the result of advanced synthetic biology using unevolvable designs. Recently ai has allowed for zinc finger design which will enable the edition of the genome at arbitrary points greatly accelerating progress. Also ai has beem able to predict many existing proteins and design novel ones with novel functions iirc just exactly what we need for nanobots.

1

DarkCeldori t1_j6bdehu wrote

Food can still be improved. Bread and fruit that remains good for months or years. Also polyphenol content can be increased and sugars replaced with natural zero calorie sweeteners through genetic engineering. Animals could be modified to be high in healthier monounsaturated fat rather than saturated fat.

As for ai there are technologies such as robots and humanoid biodroids that are possible also full immersion vr through connections to the brain. Enabling regeneration curing cancer and aging. Allowing for brain transplants. Also true nanomachine tech, appliances and devices made with true nanomachine tech can self repair self clean and can last for billions of years if they have energy provided.

8

TinyBurbz t1_j6bcp0w wrote

>I'm in gamdev space... and the tech in 2013 doesn't even come close to what's available right now, and for free. Just look at Unreal Engine 5 demos or even Unity HDRP demos.

We have been an a bit if a lul until recently. Raytracing is neat and all, but it was lipstick on a pig. Fact is, graphics have been improving a lot slower than they used to.

​

About UE 5.1, Lumen and Nanite have changed everything, however.

11

Firestar222 t1_j6b8hux wrote

Reply to comment by mvfsullivan in Andrew, release ani NOW by mvfsullivan

If you’re serious I hope you get some help for yourself. Many many years ago I was quite hopeless as well. Now I think almost every day how glad I am that I didn’t do anything crazy. You never know how life will end up, but if you’re down low chances are it will be much, much better soon.

4

mvfsullivan OP t1_j6b51k3 wrote

Actually no, I'm a severely fucked up alcoholic and dangerously close to suicide. Sorry not the response you were expecting im sure.

I should be fine honestly. Im optimistic on AGI happening soon enough to fix all of my issues.

Crude reality I know but its the best I have and I'm clinging onto it for life.

3