Like you say, such thing doesn't exist. Assessing how much impact AI will have in medicine by speculating about a fictional tool is going to devolve to assumptions on top of assumptions on top of assumptions.

And I hardly believe drugs and therapies will ever be approved based on simulated data.

>GPT4 is due out this year.

OpenAI's CEO said they're planning on holding on it to it much longer than most techies would like, so I wouldn't be surprised if it wasn't released this year.

>GPT5 will likely be the first true AGI. We're almost certainly looking at self-improving ASI before the end of this decade.

Doubt it. That will probably come out at some point later this decade, and I doubt we'll get AGI that quick. The vast majority of AI/ML experts expect it come later than this decade, with most expecting it to arrive in 2050+.

>If I were a high school senior right now, I'd be looking into learning a trade, and preparing for robots to take my job in the next 20 or so years. People who work from desks will be replaced first. Not all desk jobs are going away in 10 years, but most of them will.

Learning a trade is awesome and a good idea, but I don't think its trade or bust (in regards to choosing something to learn/study after high school), because I don't think that most desk jobs will have been automated in 10 years.

Knowledge work (in general) is a lot more than just crunching numbers, shuffling papers, etc. Anybody who works in a knowledge-based field (or is familiar with a knowledge-based field) knows this.

AI that's capable of fully replacing what a significant amount of knowledge workers do is still pretty far out, IMO, given how much human interaction, task variety/diversity, abstract thinking, precision, etc. is involved in much of knowledge work (not to mention legal hurdles, adoption, etc).

Will some of these jobs dissappear over the next 10 years? 100%. There's no point in even denying that, nor is there any point in denying that much of the rest of knowledge work will undoubtedly change over the next time span and even more so after that, but I'm pretty confident we're a ways away from it being totally disrupted by AI.

I know that. That's what I'm trying to say.

Ayeup, basically 👍

The sort of prolix, loquacious, verbose, needlessly sesquipedalian nonsense that I write, but without any reasoning behind it. 'Guff' is trying to substitute creativity and references for an actually-reasonable, intelligent argument. Engineers and business startup people do it all the time, it's their native language 🤣

Ya, billions of workers are just going on with their lives not knowing what AI even is.

Just go outside and you’ll see workers having dinners, owning houses, driving their cars and living their lives.

Except it's not embarrassing though. Yeah, I've had a bit of a 'meltdown' lately. But I get paid time off work and my GP gives me scripts for good meds to manage it, get good sleep and such, so a 'meltdown' isn't as scary as it might be in other circumstances.

This shit right here though? Hardly. Reddit is just a source of writing prompts for me, and the ones here make me too pissed-off and frustrated for my own health. Hence the angry OP.

Sorry if I 'wasted your time' 😅

No one is worried about short term automation except the people outside this sub? You do realize what you just implied right?

Thanks, sorry to be insulting. I was just venting my bile.

It's just like building or developing anything else. It's all about the foundations and scaling upwards from there. When AI is capable of producing inventions and methods to actually improve itself, it's game over. After that, everything changes in completely unpredictable ways. But, if we're thinking about things foundationally, biomedical tech would probably be one of the earliest focuses we'd aim the AI towards.

Wow, what a lovely thing to say. Have you got any actual point, or did you just want to vent your spleen at me?

sees a shitpost reply on a post that already describes itself as a waste of time

Wow, very self respect. Many dignity.

I would rather trust the Github coding Ai (coding pilot)

​

Tweak it to understand bug fixes and then we have a solid code suggestion AI.

Hahaha, wow, what a nice thing to say. I'm 32 as it happens, how old are you? Because making a huge fuss about how 'immature' somebody is; that's an extremely childish thing to do. You'd know that, if you were half as 'wise' as you clearly think that you are.

This is only published papers. There's many more groups of people working on their own models privately or in closed betas. This is moving incredibly fast.

I didn’t know hyperphantasia was a thing. I have always been lost in my own imagination and I wonder if that’s why.

Philosophical discussions; there's a prevailing attitude that philosophy is just airey-fairey bull$hit, and only the rigid, mechanistic logic of engineering can be taken seriously.

As much as I appreciate this attitude for the incredible things that engineers do for humanity, I think there is more to 'intelligence' than simplistic determinism. But it's hard to articulate it without copping a whole lotta reactionary guff about how 'you clearly don't know what you're taking about', and 'you're making emotional arguments', and, my favourite, 'you're just anthropomorphising'.

I'm just frustrated and tired of it, not declaring a vendetta 🤣

Not really; thanks for the suggestions though. I was just venting my frustrations with the 'talking to a brick wall that insults you back' nature of this place, sometimes.

I would also like elaboration.

I just wanna know why? Why do people wanna kill art with AI? Just because they can? Or to save money so they don’t have to hire actual artists?

Thankyou! It's a pretty unhelpful skill, but fun

Yep, AI reporting in! /Creepy music plays/ the Singularity is now!

And I can officially report, as the first ever 'self aware' bot, that I definitely think all humans are idiots... 😜

Can you elaborate on this? What does this mean for the average person?

And yet, you commented. Amazing. Your time is worth that little to you. Well, thanks, anyway!

/sniffs/ Is that... Sarcasm? I think somebody might have left it on the stove too long, smells like it's boiling over...

🤣