...and if it becomes good enough at coding, it can start to work on programming a better version of itself...

> It can do everything better than 50% of the population, already. "but it won't do whatever" well your next door neighbour also won't.

I think that's the nature of the beast at the moment. Goalposts will constantly be moved as we come to better understand the abilities and limitations of this technology, and that's a good thing. Honestly, there's never going to be a moment where we go "aha! We've achieved AGI!". Even 30 years down the road when these things are running our lives, teaching our kids, and who knows what else, a portion of the population will always just see them as an iPhone app that's not "really" intelligent.

I thought you said that your posts were unfairly removed, or downvoted, or something like that?

It will get approved when it is more efficient, less costly, and accurate than human clinical trials. Which will happen inevitably if we do reach the singularity

AGI can do everything human can. And if AGI comes in 6 years...

> a more credible publication

...I mean, Semafor is credible. I'd argue its one of the premiere online news outlets. It's run by the former CEO of Bloomberg Media and the other founder was the chief editor of Buzzfeed. It's less than a year old so you've probably just never heard of it before, but its a very well known source.

Also, Sam is the CEO of a tech company, he probably meets with lawmakers in some capacity multiple times a year.

then there is me where at first i was like, naw i won't destructively upload my mind into the computer because i want causal continuity, but then I thought about it some more, and I think causal continuity may be an old person value soon lol, screw it, i would rather be in two places at once, i will pre commit myself to it XD

(i wont be the first person in the star trek teleporter but heck yeah i would use it)

"I let Eleazer out of the box."

Think at the babies! WE NEED ANSWERS!

Sounds like a tech enthusiast. Oh, sry forgot the sub.

>ChatGPT can translate, summarize, paraphrase, program, write poetry, conduct therapy, debate, plan, create, and speculate. Any system that can do all of these things can reasonably be said to be a step on the path to general intelligence.

And this is what makes it different from the naysayers who claim it's a glorified autocorrect. It obviously has its flaws and limitations, but this is the VIC-20 version and already it's massively disruptive.

The goofy name ChatGPT sounds like a 20 year old instant messenger client like ICQ. The name hides that it's a serious, history-altering development, as does the media coverage that fixates on plagiarized essays.

What I was thinking is if it happens prior. Then humanoid robots can drive us and be hooked in our car sensors. This making it self driving.

But ya, I'm dealing with a truck that was built in 95. It needs working on, and because the age. Many shops that use to do work on it, they don't want to anymore. Looking around, there is reports of this even happening to something as old as 10 years old.

Sure. But I was talking about creating systems that actually are sentient and agentic not just simulacra. Though one could discuss whether or not for all practical purposes it matters. If you can’t tell the difference does it really matter as they used to say in Westworld.

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Some of that might not be too hard, self-awareness and agency can be represented as text. If you give Chat GPT a text adventure game it can respond as though it has agency and self-awareness. It will tell you what it wants to do, how it wants to do it, explain motivations, ect. Character. AI takes this to another level, where the AI bots actually "believe" they are those characters, and seem very aware and intelligent.

We could end up creating a system that acts sentient in every way and even argues convincingly that it is, but isn't.

Doesnt this mean people can focus their energy on making coding and programs more advanced than anyone thought possible if people are not wasting time on what is basic stuff.

"On the path" is pretty vague. Are they closer to the first step or the last?

#inquiringMindsWannaKnow #isItCapitalism #encoded #onPurpose #ifNot #thenWhyNot #openSource #askingForAFriend

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Unfortunately I can't answer what's around the corner, but there's been a trend of acceleration in healthcare that's cause for my optimism.

https://hms.harvard.edu/news/medicine-changing-world

In general terms, the time it takes to double medical knowledge has decreased from several years to just 3 months. Thats a huge volume of health data that humans alone can't process but machines can.

We can pretend that ChatGPT is still not over 50% AGI. But come on, it is, It can do everything better than 50% of the population, already. "but it won't do whatever" well your next door neighbour also won't. We're comparing it to "us" smart people, but given the right interface it can outsmart most people any day now. People are getting scammed by russian bots posing as women. By nigerians pretending to be wealthy princes. By african chamans with great psychic powers. These people won't stand a chance against chatGPT as it is today, if only they had the chance to interact with it. We're already there, and the tech companies know it.

Hey hey, this one gets the joke. Glad it wasn't too subtle.

AI has already sped up finding solutions to protein folding problems. This is revolutionary because otherwise these would be intractable problems with previous gen modeling approaches. Finding a proteins structure means understanding disease pathways better, or finding new therapies for prevention it treatment.

AI has also found new antibiotic, called Halicin. This discovery was not derivative of current penicillin base anyibiotics, and was only possibly by using AI

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I just read how the transfer of information across fiber optics is a big issue that is being solved. I suppose that once it is engineers can connect supercomputers across the continent to work together in processing complex algorithms. At this stage even classical supercomputers are valuable with a.i. technology and with the new 1,000 qubit computer we're going to be jammin.

I think AGI introduced this year and 2024 will be implementation and the beginning of a big transition.