You are sadly mistaken on that one. AI will make far fewer errors and those that happen will be an easy win in court. MDs have shown in the pandemic that they have literally no clue.

Also hairdressers

Yes very true.

The thing about doctors and nurses is that it's a profession where supply doesn't remotely meet demand. There is a huge leeway for efficiency upgrades without job loss in the field.

Eventually every modern profession will be obsolete. But ones with more "slack" for effeciency increase will take longer

Preacher, prostitute.

I wonder if you could program AI to sign things with squiggles and other indecipherable text. I'd say, at that point, you may well be out of a job!

i think suicide prevention will continue to be a growth industry.

It's more like I die a year before.

Even missing it by 5 years would be horrible.

Here's another slightly longer TL;DR:

Humans solve hard problems by them down into parts and solving them part by part. We normally ask language models to solve algorithmic problems in one go (or if they revise their solutions, we expect them to revise everything). This has been known to be a problem for a while. It turns out, maybe unsurprisingly, that by asking language models to break problems down and then implementing subparts independently, we get way better results.

We do this by writing a programming language (basically, English with indentation plus a small amount of syntax for tests and references). We design an LLM-powered compiler around it to generate programs efficiently. We show it works on solving competitive coding problems, robotic task planning, and math theorem proving. We also show that it's decently robust - able to implement a bare-bones lisp compiler in a few dozen lines.

Child care workers are some of the lowest paid workers around. The quality of your average child care worker is very low. I would trust a good robot over a poorly trained 20yo any day

Great points. Only thing is I wouldn’t call it irrationality, as if machines are the opposite… all rational. Machines are literally sourcing data from humans and coming up with irrational conclusions all the time.

Just become a prompt engineer.

Software engineers. In order for ai to write software, the person wanting the software needs to be able to describe exactly what they want. Only software engineers could prompt an ai specifically enough to get viable software out of it.

Incorrect, this just removes the cashier people, it still has the cooks to make everything. So, basically, self order.

Multimedia Entertainment, i think the demand for human made Movies, Tv, Music, Comedy, etc will always be around

I don’t think this is the approach to take. There’s so many possibilities of what could happen and how it could impact workers. Additionally, college is just college; while your major will impact your career significantly, it’s very common to change paths in your life.

That being said it’s good to stay abreast of more immediate trends and make smaller career adjustments based on that.

If you really want an answer to your OG question though, some form of entrepreneur will always be around ;)

And they will lack inherent human biases hopefully.

Engineering will probably be one of the first professions to be mostly replaced by AI. There will still be a need for people who can come up with ideas for AI to design though, or to sort through the AI designs to find ones that can be marketed.

>having a compiler LM that can reliably convert Parcel ( or something simmilar ) to actual code would be a massive win. Imagine coding in natural language psudocode

We made this available here!: https://github.com/ezelikman/parsel

And there's a notebook here: https://colab.research.google.com/github/ezelikman/parsel/blob/main/parsel.ipynb

Hopefully, there'll be a nicer IDE integration at some point in the nearish future!

I been thinking this and is true may be the 1st and last profession on earth.

Those will be the first, with AI the last guy to go will be the one cleaning the toilets.

Think human interacting face to face careers.

AI doctors will be much better than human ones. Its impossible for a human doctor to know about every possible illness. There will probably still be a need for a trained technician to do tests etc.

Maybe the innovation isn't in the technology itself but the accessibility OpenAI provides to the technology allowing anyone in the world to leverage

you can have nurses taking symptoms (if not he patient itself), the AI will give you a "pre-diagnosis" then a doctor signs on it, you can replace 5 doctors with one and 2-3 nurses.

Surgeons will take longer, just a 30-40% on staff reductions for hospitals is too good to let go.