Recent comments in /f/singularity

meatlamma t1_j6liqvx wrote

Reply to What jobs will be one of the last remaining ones? by MrCensoredFace

Anybody who's done some remodeling/construction/handy man stuff, would know these skillsets will be the last ones to succumb to AI. It's just so unpredictable especially dealing with older houses.

I'm an AI dev and also I've done a decent amount of weekend warrior stuff, from plumbing/electrical to drywall/tile to finishing attic and basement. And I always imagine how I would go about training a model for a job at hand. It's basically not possible right now or in immediate future.

It is one thing to generate text, or image, and a whole new level is to control a humanoid robot that can sweat old pipes all on his own or snake new wires for an outlet. If I had to guess, at least 100x number of model parameters than GPT3. And training data? How do you even go about it? We will need to develop new approaches, like continuous learning. And can you imagine the compute you need to do inference with a model the size of GPT3 x 100? All of this in a humanoid robot? Yeah, it is insane. Of course that compute can be in the cloud and the robot is just a drone. Then you need a cloud supporting millions of these humanoid drones. If I had to guess again, we are at least 15 years and more likely 20 away from that.

Don't get me wrong, It will be done, but it will take the longest.

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City_dave t1_j6lejvj wrote

Reply to comment by thenwetakeberlin in A McDonald’s location has opened in White Settlement, TX, that is almost entirely automated. Since it opened in December 2022, public opinion is mixed. Many are excited but many others are concerned about the impact this could have on millions of low-wage service workers. by Callitaloss

I'm sure a lot of people like me, didn't appear to notice it to you, because we already knew about it.

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monsieurpooh t1_j6lds65 wrote

Reply to comment by natepriv22 in What jobs will be one of the last remaining ones? by MrCensoredFace

It mainly applies to specific situations especially where one might use it as an excuse to not do something you want. In 2018 I was onboarded as the musical composer for a short film. ETA for this film was 2 whole years. At that time we already had VQGAN and GPT-2 (maybe GPT-3 I don't remember) and various AI composers like Jukebox. I was thinking wow by the time we're done we'll have AI-generated TV shows and music already. But we still don't have human-level AI movies/music today, and we finished the short film and it's called Let's Eat on youtube.

In 2021 I was playing with GPT-3 Da Vinci on OpenAI and realized it was possible to make a game like AI Dungeon except have it actually be a game. I was like wow by the time I'm done making this game we'll have AI-generated 3D games. But we don't yet really, and AI Roguelite is now on Steam.

There are now tons of people lamenting their choice of majority in CS or whatever just because some AI can sort of write code. They wish they'd been a plumber or whatever. But we don't actually know yet how much the demand for programmers will downsize, if at all.

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neneksihira t1_j6ldlsj wrote

Reply to What jobs will be one of the last remaining ones? by MrCensoredFace

Jobs that lean heavily on interpersonal relationships and a wide range of physical tasks I'd say. My husband and i work in eco tourism - where people are actively trying to get away from tech and in touch with nature. Things that require complex problem solving and advanced social skills, where you'd be needing to meet and talk with people in person, moves things around or create or repair physical objects. Personally i think engineering will be automated early on as it's very reliant on mathematics which computers have been better at for decades already.

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City_dave t1_j6lde67 wrote

Reply to comment by moobycow in A McDonald’s location has opened in White Settlement, TX, that is almost entirely automated. Since it opened in December 2022, public opinion is mixed. Many are excited but many others are concerned about the impact this could have on millions of low-wage service workers. by Callitaloss

You're just pissed off Moobys doesn't have this technology. Not a surprise you're hating on McDonald's. You're afraid you're going to be out of a job.

Although I do give you that the Moobynet was very innovative.

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monsieurpooh t1_j6lce4v wrote

Reply to comment by lovesdogsguy in What jobs will be one of the last remaining ones? by MrCensoredFace

I'm inclined to agree somewhat; however, we've always been saying that. For 10, 20, 30 years we've been saying "now we're really at the point where it's gonna be vertical." By the way, a fun fact about exponential curves is there is no such thing as "knee of the curve" because everywhere on the curve is the "knee of the curve".

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