Sure it could replace the manager, but it would require a super-human AI to replace all the workers.

>Because it will take a special effort to make an ASI (more resources) it will not happen by accident.

Resources aren't accidental but what comes out of them pretty much is.

>So it should be possible to have AGI and not ASI.

Anything is possible but I wonder why you choose to talk about this possibility and not about the possibility of the Moon being cheese instead.

One AI could run an entire factory though that would make it price competitive.

I mean $200 per day per brain, so it would not replace workers earning less per day (say in Indonesia).

Like all computing the price will come down.

Did you mean $200K? $200 doesn't seem like much at all.

AGIs may come slowly if they are very resource-intensive. Say it costs $200 per day to run a brain-equivalent and massive server farms then it may not take over as fast as one would expect.

Insufficient data for meaningful answer.

Mass unemployment and social instability. High crime, riots, UBI, authoritarian states.

Really hard to say if AGI is even possible with today's tech. We might get seemingly very close (a much more human like chatbot for example) but the jump from 99 to 100% might take something special. Maybe quantum computers, or maybe we can grown and connect actual specialised brains in the future, thus not needing to invent AGI trough software at all.

Because it will take a special effort to make an ASI (more resources) it will not happen by accident. So it should be possible to have AGI and not ASI. But it should take a specific agreement and a lot of cooperation from everyone around the world, which seems unlikely.

Book Life 3.0

Oh no!

Anyway...

I've seen demos if sparrow, frankly it is awful. Maybe since then they have improved it - needs the censorship eased off quite a bit.

Automate it all. We don't care.

These are good points. Technology has always been a double-edged sword, being wary is wise.

>AGI is not something that will be build by cyberpunks beneath sewers of neo-tokyo it will be build by large corporation

Judging by SD and the fact that 1.5 with "mods" returns better results than 2.1 and in specific aplication, better than all the other alternatives.

I really believe that "the community" can reach AGI faster than corporations. Since corporations want AGI with a leash and not a really free AGI,

Unfortunately, unlike SD. These models are to big for consumer grade electronics.

they pulled the fire alarm a few weeks ago. if you recall the articles about google red alert or some such thing. They are in trouble because they are a monopoly and every eye that goes to cgpt or another upstart is one less eye they get to show ads to. So for those that stick around that means more ads. then those folks are like wtf why so many ads ill try cgpt maybe its better. and so on. There is no way they get out of this without taking a significant hit. get ready to start paying for all that free stuff they give you because they are going to try to find revenue elsewhere.

Well, I'm not certain that handmade is necessarily preferred, but I mostly agree. Even the concept of handmade can be subjective - if you use a pencil, you're not truly handmade unless you dig up the graphite and make your own tools. AI is just as "handmade" as Photoshop or photography, and I am proficient in all three.

I believe that in the next 2-5 years, it will be possible to prompt a feature film or AAA video game with a few words, but the effort of crafting that experience will still come down to human effort to make it unique. Only humans can understand the human condition and experience, and they are the ones who translate that into something to share.

> and lack of censorship of the model's thoughts.

Companies only need to censor a model that's available to the public. They can do whatever they want internally.

I also think you're vastly understating the size of these language models. Even if they don't grow in size, we're still many many years away from them being runnable even at the hobbyist level. Very few people can afford $20k+ in GPU hardware. And that's just to run the thing. Training it costs millions. There's a massive difference between ChatGPT and StableDiffusion regarding scale.

A singularity of idiots is why. Sorry but it's getting annoying.

one hand holds the modafinil and amphetamines

the other, weed and shrooms

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I think this has been reposted quite a few times on this sub already.

I'm not sure why wheely robots serving hamburgers makes so many people think of the singularity.

I mostly did protein folding on BOINC.

seti@home had a backlog of 20 years of data to analyze.

In my opinion, in the first wave - yes.
Later on, when there are no more artists, we will start to appreciate manual work again.