Recent comments in /f/singularity

Ribak145 t1_j8f6pr0 wrote

Reply to Altman vs. Yudkowsky outlook by kdun19ham

Altman thinks midterm, Yudkowsky longterm

the former deals in business, the latter in theory

while basically nobody thinks that AI wont have a huge impact on the economy (i.e. everyone agreeing with Altman), Yudkowsky has yet to be proven wrong in his statement that ours is the time of failed AI alignemnt. I have yet to discover a practical solution the alignment problem and I more and more believe that he may be right, which would pretty terrible for all of us

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ActuatorMaterial2846 t1_j8f6fjl wrote

Reply to comment by Kaje26 in Is society in shock right now? by Practical-Mix-4332

Personally it's not stress for me, its distraction. Knowing that the world has just changed has kept my hpyer focused on the topic, which leaves little room and energy to focus on general things in life.

I'm watching the progress like a hawk, and it seems like something new and amazing is being pitched every few days.

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Borrowedshorts t1_j8f4clg wrote

Reply to comment by hydraofwar in Anthropic's Jack Clark on AI progress by Impressive-Injury-91

Even if we assume that, it's not necessarily a problem or suggests that AI progress will slow anytime soon. We can afford to dedicate a lot more energy to AI improvement than we currently are. Recent multimodal models seem to suggest there is plenty of room for efficiency gains yet. We are still far from limitations of energy becoming a primary concern, if it ever does, as AI self-improvement will make its own algorithms more efficient and get better and better at finding outside resources to exploit.

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Frumpagumpus t1_j8f2s71 wrote

Reply to Altman vs. Yudkowsky outlook by kdun19ham

neither altman nor yudkowsky are whiz bang programmers or computer scientists

academic computer science basically ignores the concept of the singularity as not relevant to their more specific research goals.

amongst rationalists, maybe more are sympathetic to yud/bostrom because he kind of founded the movement, and they are interested in managing existential risk and have a kind of technocrat neolib/socialist top down planning bias just due to the demographic composition of the community

amongst venture capitalists, obviously altman is more respected

i lean team altman, although I don't think the primary denizens of future society will be humans lol. Also I don't think it will be complete utopia but definitely way cooler than our society is. More vitality/thought/energy, less of a doomer/malthusian vibe

I would say let's ask instead what vernor vinge or von neumann thinks XD

(also venture capitalists basically = tech founders so they are less armchair quarterbacks, and typically have ivory tower credentials but also ground floor experience)

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Diacred t1_j8f1r4e wrote

Reply to Is society in shock right now? by Practical-Mix-4332

Man, even my friends that are developers and use tech day to day don't seem to care much, most of them haven't even tried it, some are vaguely warming up to it, but almost nobody in my circle is ever discussing its impact or consequences or actively trying to make us of it everyday.

People are generally slow on the uptake even in fairly tech-savvy circles

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No_Ninja3309_NoNoYes t1_j8f0s4i wrote

Reply to Is society in shock right now? by Practical-Mix-4332

The world is burning. By the end of the year, ChatGPT will be ten times faster. Bing, Bard, Claude, Ernie, Galactica, Baba will take over. Soon they will be 100x more powerful, meaning less than a second per request. Speech recognition will be so good that you only need to mouth a bit and the AIs will create games and books and software and art for you. My friend Fred says that he will quit his job when the new Nvidia GPUs become available. They are basically the replicators of Star Trek. You don't need anything else.

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