https://www.researchgate.net/publication/368304947_Theory_of_Mind_May_Have_Spontaneously_Emerged_in_Large_Language_Models

People are not going to process information until it directly changes their lives. Only then will it start to feel real IMO.

Thanks, Teal'C

> Also I don't think it will be complete utopia but definitely way cooler than our society is. More vitality/thought/energy, less of a doomer/malthusian vibe

I believe the same. After a certain point the sole-currency becomes energy, space, and matter. There isn’t an infinite amount of it, but for human purposes there are and so it will feel like complete utopia/communist paradise. If AI can build anything with enough matter and energy, and can allow any place to be habitable, well that eliminates currency except for really extreme scenarios.

I think at macro level there will be questions of “Who pays the cosmic water, energy bill and rent?” At that point it would be in the hands of AI systems so far advanced that they can manage those concerns without issue.

Yes but it's inferred as a result of GPT based or like language hitting the public mainstream like no other model.. not even Stable Diffusion..

They are not the only people involved in this discussion.

Parent is not as bad as the downvotes seem to make it.

Do we have evidence of emergent agency behaviors?

So far, all LLMs and image generators do is auto-completing from a prompt. Sometimes with funny or crazy responses, but nothing implying agency (the ability to start chains of actions on the world on its own volition).

I get some of these systems soon will start being self-driven or automated to accomplish some goals over time, not just wait to be prompted, by using an internal programmed agenda and better sensors. An existing example, are Tesla's or other FSDs, and even them are passive machines with respect to their voyages and use. They don't decide where to go, just take you there.

The point of my reply was to get the critiquer to admit that there was actually no form of prompt that would satisfy them - which it did.

“Intuitively Feels nuts” is a fairly abstract comment like what has been shared before from others about the future of AI…

Edit: also after typing it, it’s a funny phrase on its own

Uhhhhhhh Ive been using it and getting (mostly) correct results. Its been truly better than I ever expected. Ive had to fix a few things but its made my work life easier until it takes it totally

One can easily imagine a generalist LLM outputting an action token which represents prompting the specialized LLM, which then gets routed to the specialized LLM, then the response is formatted and put into context by the generalist.

It already has been, really, but it's surprising how fast you get used to these things. I wonder how much more nuts it will get.

>self-awareness

What does this entail and what should agi be that we don't have here

Wisely waiting for an expert on AI singularity. Dude you’re my kinda koolaid drinker. Calmly logical, but wildly silly lol

Optimality is the tiger, and agents are its teeth:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kpPnReyBC54KESiSn

They just keep making them more efficient.

>I doubt even 20% of people are really boiling the implications down in their head.

Well, (1) the people who are boiling the ramifications down in their heads still have no idea what the fuck is going to happen and (2) given how hard it is to figure out what's going to happen and what the fallout will be, the remaining 80% are perhaps wisely waiting for some other experts to figure it out and tell them about it so they know exactly what to freak out over.

JFC now Bing is going to tell me I need to be more expressive and enthusiastic too?

What did he get wrong? He's saying the rate of exponential change is increasing, which I think is true. Like, the doubling rate is getting shorter with time.

Who?

That’s very optimistic, I hope you’re right. Narrow AI that could enable post scarcity by itself would probably be better than AGI imo since the unpredictability of AGI scares me.

The irony of you extending faith to a screenshot on Reddit instead.

That's how everyone I know has responded to it--even smart people. There's only a few who look at me with that shell shocked "how long until this is good enough to take over" look that I have when I use it.

I mean... it's not there yet, but we have no idea how long it's going to take from here. Months? Years? I'm hoping years. I would like years to be the answer.

It’s not really that big deal right now. It’s smart but it still makes terrible mistakes and can’t follow up conversion properly. I personally aren’t in shock and if someone actually tried it extensively they shouldn’t be either.

ChatGPT and current image generators aren’t going to take anyone’s job anytime soon and to be useful in any kind of professional production.

Current AI status is same as internet status was in 1995. It’s starting but we are still at least few years away from actual shock.

"Robit get smart faster until boom boom"