I was agreeing with you but I worded it wrong and it sounded like I was smashing you. Not angry.

Those sound like big math words dude

Thank you

Factorial or asymptotic

Altman is selling a product, Yudkowsky is not.

This is an important distinction to remember for all genuine discussion.

I fervently hope he's wrong, but one look at our current socio economic setup spits out all sorts of alarm bells. The first mover benefits in AI are so extreme even in pure dollar terms that every tech company with acsess to a server farm (which with cloud services today means anyone with a few millions to spend) is going to be hurtling towards AGI like a shot out a cannon, aligment be damned. Its pretty much an 'I win' button for capitalism.

Even if we lived in an almost utopic and unified world goverment, the danger posed by rogue research teams skipping safety in favor of speed and releasing a botched up AI would be enormous and very difficult to manage or police.

As it stands? I've been lately grasping at straws about how this all wont end badly for the human race, possibly in less than 10 years. Given I'm not an AI researcher, I'm pretty much reduced to not thinking about it, and naivily thinking that we'll probably be okay if most of the teams at the vanguard of AI research are not themselves panicking yet.

No progress 50’s thru 60’s. Big progress 70’s thru 80’s than hit a wall. Later people thought they could take the 80’s neural net work, add a lot of computing power and even more hype and suddenly AI.

I think it will eventually be fixed. Soon? I'm not so sure

>soon enough, it'll probably be able to handle 95% of any knowledge tasks that you ask it to do.

I respectfully disagree with you.

Knowledge work (in general) is a lot more than just crunching numbers, shuffling papers, etc. Anybody who works in a knowledge-based field (or is familiar with a knowledge-based field) knows this.

AI that's capable of fully replacing what a significant amount of knowledge workers do is still pretty far out, IMO, given how much human interaction, task variety/diversity, abstract thinking, precision, etc. is involved in much of knowledge work (not to mention legal hurdles, adoption, etc).

Will some of these jobs disappear over, let's say, the next 10 years? 100%. There's no point in even denying that, nor is there any point in denying that much of the rest of knowledge work will undoubtedly change over the next time span and even more so after that, but I'm pretty confident we're a ways away from it being totally disrupted by AI.

Just my thoughts 😊.

Yeah, perhaps, but eventually you'll be at cusp of that massive progression (in relative terms) where it isn't overstated or overestimated.

It might still be years away to reach the level of impact which OP described, but eventually it'll only be months away.

Disappointing to say the least, but I suspect the hallucination problem will be fixed very soon, either through better overall models or specific methods to fix it.

the pdf isn’t accessible from the original link anymore. did anyone manage to download it? could you please re share?

99% of people aren't even paying attention. Of the 1% who are, a majority of them are in denial of the transformations ahead. We're all in for the wildest ride in history.

LOL pretrained on teen chats hahah

By the way, it seems the way you chat is very conversational. Perhaps it has a bias due to the way you chat. Maybe you are the AI whisperer.

Factorial? lol

lol.

I should have said "Fascinating"

Nice combination of moving the goalposts and straw man.

Are you only capable of literal thought

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Yeah he could have edited the entire image and fake the whole conversation. I accept that possibility. Do you apply the same skepticism to every conversation posted about GPT?

I'm not referring to blind faith in what I read on the internet. I'm referring to faith in the idea that chat GPT is somehow on the verge of becoming a god. That cultist mindset that's taking root among some in the community is what's toxic.

https://www.google.com/search?q=valhalla&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&hl=en-us&client=safari

ChatGPT is not fundamentally revolutionary in what it does, just its capacity. The use of it as some backing service is what you're seeing as this radical exponential change which is just people iterating on what is currently here and doable in the now.

You've been exposed to machine learning everyday for the past decade or so, its influence will continue to go unnoticed.

God this sub is brainwashed by hype lol

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No, most of it is just oblivious...and will remain so for some time to come.

It means he's a founder with a creative writing/marketing background.