Recent comments in /f/singularity

SgathTriallair t1_j94oqxt wrote

The military is ahead of civilian tech in some areas but not all areas. For instance, they are working with Microsoft to create AR heads up displays for soldiers. If they were ten years ahead they wouldn't need to contract with a private entity.

Additionally, no amount of money by the government can make up for the fact that there's are far more civilians working on certain fields, like AI. The civilians will likely come out with the tech sooner because there are more of them.

The basics of the atom bomb was discovered by civilians. It was only after they went to the government and described what was possible that the military began engineering the bomb.

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SoylentRox t1_j94lra8 wrote

>But we can agree to disagree.

You're wrong. Your whole argument is "they could have somehow kept thousands of people working on this in secret". Sure, and they could have secret antigravity research.

Publicly the DoD says they are far behind and need more money. And there is zero evidence for your theory.

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user4517proton t1_j94k3px wrote

Language models like GPT are useful for analyzing the execution of commands. Most command structures in military communication would benefit from analysis to determine if someone is straying from command or moving toward violation of principles. The following published paper is a good example: Ethics, Rules of Engagement, and AI: Neural Narrative Mapping Using Large Transformer Language Models.

I think use of language models will be very beneficial to DOD agencies like NSA, but there is nothing to indicate what they have at this point.

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SoylentRox t1_j94iknl wrote

They don't have it. The probability that they do is a flat 0.

Reasons:

AI is very advanced innovation that is also a collaboration between AI labs. You are not going to do that in secret.

They can't pay enough.

They do not have the budget allocated for GPUs.

Did you know that Google, Meta, and Microsoft have combined annual revenues close to the entire Department of Defense? The NSA annual budget is a mere 65 billion, chump change. Google alone pulls 280. The entire black budget is only another 50.

They are too poor.

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SoylentRox t1_j94gr7s wrote

> That would put them really deep into singularity territory.

There is no sign that they have this. It would be impossible to miss. Unfortunately this appears to be completely false.

From the recruiters who have contacted me for AI/defense roles, the reason is obvious. They cannot offer remotely competitive compensation. Any AI coders they have are terrible.

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SoylentRox t1_j94gme9 wrote

The problem is that if the military actually has singularity technology +10 years from now, they would have deaged all their veterans on re-enlistment, be building massive networks of bunkers and missile defense batteries with self replicating robots, and so on and so forth.
The current reality simply doesn't show any sign that they have this tech. And this is because the defense contractors that pay AI coders offer about 180k annually for someone with 5 years experience. Deepmind would pay 500k for that.

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turnip_burrito t1_j94f95b wrote

> They do not have some magic semiconductor technology that is unknown to the public. They just have a lot of money.

Well, I certainly don't have proof that they don't have magic semiconductor technology and aren't secretly benefiting from advanced tech companies.

So we can't reasonably 100% negate their argument. After all, they could be right. We've been checkmated, and outvoted it looks like. If popular opinion is anything to go by, we should reconsider our position, and maybe change our mind?

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ChipsAhoiMcCoy t1_j94f02c wrote

Sure, there are some YouTube videos of people testing out the accessibility mods for Minecraft that you can watch if you want to visually see how it looks, but basically camera controls are done via the use of your numb pad. So the default looking position is north for example, and if you hit the six key on your number pad which would basically be east, you would then be looking north east and if you push it again you would be looking east, etc. so it adds that sort of segmented camera control and the screen reader of choice will announce which direction you’re facing so you can essentially reach any block like you normally would be able to with a mouse and keyboard this way. Like if I’m chopping a tree down, I would hit the down key one time so that I would be facing the bottom block of the tree, and then I would hit the up arrow to hit the center block, etc. There is also fall detection where it will scan ahead of you and if it detects a fall that’s greater than about 10 blocks or so, then it will warn you. There’s also an auto lock feature where certain entities in the game whether that be chests or monsters, will make this kind of beeping noise. If you hits the assigned key to lock onto the target when you hear that beeping noise, it will do as it states and lock you onto the target to help you find things easier. So if I’m ever fighting them off it’s fairly easy because it’s basically aim bot. I could go on and on, but to give you the best idea of how this works check out a video on YouTube about it it’s actually pretty darn fascinating how well they got this game to work with a screen reader.

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PandaCommando69 t1_j94bk3u wrote

Yes. You can read about some of what else they're up to on DARPA'S website:

https://www.darpa.mil/work-with-us/ai-next-campaign

Here's a snippet:

> Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency AI Next Campaign

>For more than five decades, DARPA has been a leader in generating groundbreaking research and development (R&D) that facilitated the advancement and application of rule-based and statistical-learning based AI technologies. Today, DARPA continues to lead innovation in AI research as it funds a broad portfolio of R&D programs, ranging from basic research to advanced technology development. DARPA believes this future, where systems are capable of acquiring new knowledge through generative contextual and explanatory models, will be realized upon the development and application of “Third Wave” AI technologies.

>DARPA announced in September 2018 a multi-year investment of more than $2 billion in new and existing programs called the “AI Next” campaign. Key areas of the campaign include automating critical Department of Defense (DOD) business processes, such as security clearance vetting or accrediting software systems for operational deployment; improving the robustness and reliability of AI systems; enhancing the security and resiliency of machine learning and AI technologies; reducing power, data, and performance inefficiencies; and pioneering the next generation of AI algorithms and applications, such as “explainability” and common sense reasoning.

https://www.thefuturescentre.org/signal/darpa-planning-ai-system-to-predict-world-events/

They're working on using AI to predict the future (they probably already have it frankly).

>The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) wants to create an artificial intelligence that sifts the media for early signals of potentially impactful events, such as terrorist attacks, financial crises or cold wars.

>The system is called KAIROS: Knowledge-directed Artificial Intelligence Reasoning Over Schemas. Schemas are small stories made up of linked events that people use to make sense of the world. For example, the “buying a gift” schema involves entering a shop, browsing for an item, selecting the item, experiencing pangs of self-doubt, bringing it to the till, paying for it, then leaving the shop.

>KAIROS will begin by ingesting massive amounts of data so it can build a library of basic schemas. Once it has compiled a set of schemas about the world, the system will try to use them to extract narratives about complex real-world events.

>According to the agency, KAIROS “aims to develop a semi-automated system capable of identifying and drawing correlations between seemingly unrelated events or data, helping to inform or create broad narratives about the world around us.”

And that's just a snip out of the stuff that's publicly available. The US government security apparatus has resources that are beyond what most people have any inkling about.

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