Recent comments in /f/singularity

turnip_burrito t1_j9bzfd6 wrote

I see. How many orders of magnitude more will be needed?

Edit: A quick Google search returns 10^8 over 1 hour for breaking AES 256. Right now we're at 10^2 and I don't know how long it stays coherent (looks like around 10^-4 seconds). I see what you mean now for encryption.

How much do you need for quantum chemistry simulations? Quick Googlr search says the numbers are far lower to be useful there. Maybe 10^2 or 10^3 order of magnitude?

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giveuporfindaway t1_j9by5b0 wrote

It really makes me depressed when I hear literally the same advice for multiple decades and people default to a just-world theory and think everything is within someone's power. I'm not harming anyone. Why can't you be happy for someone who says they'll get their romantic needs met through artificial means? How would you like it if you failed at something for decades and kept getting the exact same advice ad nauseam, which has never worked for you. Are you willing to accept that some people are going to fall through the cracks? I am and you're not and yet I'm the one who has to deal with the problem. The only reason people give these trite pieces of advice is because of their own psychological distress. If you admit that someone else is lonely through no fault of their own then you also have to admit that it can happen to you - and that is terrifying. Or you have to admit that you're a contributing factor to their loneliness.

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SoylentRox t1_j9bqmp7 wrote

As I understand it:

(1) current quantum computers are useless for AI so far (not enough qbits)

(2) they are useful for limited types of problems.

AI is useful for everything. So there's a lot more interest in it.

Like a lot of things, the actual tech order is probably:

high perf computers -> narrow AI -> AGI -> self replicating robots -> nanotechnology -> quantum computers

That is, we will not have large and useful quantum computers until we have nanotechnology, and we can't afford that without self replicating robots, and we can't make that without AGI, and so on.

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MrEloi t1_j9bp6js wrote

If Google are working on it, it will already be very advanced - but hidden in a back room.

They won't launch any products using the technology, just in case it disrupts their search income.

However, one day someone else will launch a related product .. and then Google will set up an emergency competitive product launch in Paris.

Google will spend at least $100 on this launch and will not actually show anything interesting.

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