Recent comments in /f/singularity

SoylentRox t1_j9e2m1x wrote

Mistakes: Depends on the outcome of efforts to try to reduce answering errors. If self introspection works, months.

More context memory: Weeks to months. There already are papers that set up the groundwork: https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.04761 . Searching the past log for this same session (past our token window) is easily integratable with the toolformer architecture.

There are also alternate architectures that may also enormously increase the window.

AGI : it is possible within a few years. Whether it happens depends on the trajectory of outside investment. If Google and Microsoft go into an all out AI war where each are spending 100B plus annually? A few years. If current approaches "cap out" and the hyper diminishes? Could take decades.

Singularity: shortly after AGI is good enough to control robotics for most tasks. So shortly after AGI probably. (shortly meaning a matter of months to a few years)

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Borrowedshorts t1_j9e2i3s wrote

ChatGPT and Bing have been in the airwaves, but it's just sort of an out there news story that people don't really understand and will probably fade into the background shortly. People don't really pay attention until it affects them personally. Which for a lot of people, it won't be until they're asked to pack up their desk and leave their job that is now automated. As for who's prepared, I don't think anyone is. I don't think anyone on this sub really knows what will happen or what the implications will end up being both societally and personally.

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fangfried t1_j9e14pq wrote

Why is python so widely used in AI when it’s a really inefficient language under the hood? Wouldn’t Rust be better to optimize models? Or do you just need that optimization at the infrastructure level while the models are so high level it doesn’t matter?

Also it’s really cool there’s people in the forefront of AI on this sub. I’m at a big tech company right now, and I want to transfer into infrastructure for AI there. Then hopefully, I’ll build a resume to get into a top PhD program. After that I could work in AI research.

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Belostoma t1_j9e0siw wrote

No. I'm really interested to see what happens and whether the singularity really plays out in the wild exponential way this sub is expecting. I'm both worried and excited about what it will mean for society. But I also believe bug collecting is a pretty fun way to pass the time while we're waiting, and I'm sure it will still be interesting afterward. Really it's crazy how many fascinating adaptations the little buggers have and how much biodiversity there is. Get a decent microscope and have your mind blown.

Or take up literally any other form of entertainment. You are unfathomably lucky to be conscious in the first place, and it's only for a while, so you might as well enjoy it. We don't need any deeper meaning than finding things we enjoy; as the highest form of consciousness in the known Universe, we humans are the primary arbiters of meaning. Everything that happens is only meaningful to the extent that it means something to some conscious creature (that's us). Rather than pining for a higher consciousness to give things meaning, just do it yourself. And if you enjoy thinking about the singularity, cool. Keep that on your list of meaningful things. Just don't rely on it as the only thing that counts.

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SoylentRox t1_j9dytn4 wrote

Several friends. Others at AI startups. Somehow they are self taught. Good at Python, has a framework that uses some cool hacks included automated function memoization.

Note that until very recently, like 2 months now, OpenAI was kind of not the best option for elite programmers. It was all people on a passion project. The lottery winners were at Deepmind or Meta.

Have several friends there also. The Meta friends are all the usual background, with the graduate degree and 15+ yoe in high performance GPU work.

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Spire_Citron t1_j9dxt33 wrote

Wouldn't you need some sort of mechanism through which to experience pain? Like, even if something is smart enough to perfectly understand those concepts, it's not going to spontaneously generate the kind of systems through which humans experience pain. No matter how well I understand pain, if I don't have working nerves, I won't feel pain.

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Borrowedshorts t1_j9dxq7o wrote

Nope, I'm pretty much the opposite of this. I think the path to singularity is going to be overwhelmingly negative, and I think it's going to be negative in my personal life as well. Just when I thought I understood and might be capable of conquering the contemporary world, AI is on pace to upend everything.

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