Recent comments in /f/singularity

_dekappatated t1_jedpp0y wrote

I agree partially, but I'm sure we've barely scratched the surface on what is possible with the knowledge that we already have and has already been proven by scientists. They might come up with novel solutions that are more or less correct that don't need extensive real world testing and be able to change the world very quickly that way. There are mathematicians who's work is entirely theoretical and haven't been applied to the real world, then suddenly a use is found for their stuff 30-50 years later.

16

chlebseby t1_jedpm3y wrote

I mean they do the same job, technology just changes some details of their life. Life itself in 1990 wasn't that different if you think about it. Same sociopolitical system, same goals in life.

And yes, this time change will be bigger, as system and life itself will be altered.

3

Ginger987 t1_jedp3nm wrote

My better half is a marketing manager for a s&p100 company and has a 8 figure marketing budget.

Big companies like that tend to outsource a vast amount of the actual marketing work to agencies. (copywriting, data acquisition/analysis, digital ads, print media ads etc etc.) essentially all content generation.

Her LinkedIn is therefore packed with dozens of these agencies and hundreds of individuals from the higher-cost end of that industry. There have definitely been some redundancies but at the moment its more like freelance contracts arent being renewed, recruitment is paused and there is vastly less work to do.

These people are obviously vocally uneasy about even thier short term futures though.

1

marvinthedog t1_jedp0uc wrote

We can´t rule out that the superior beings wont be conscious. They might do amazing things with the universe but if "there is nobody home" these amazing things would just be a play for empty benches.

2

sequoia-3 t1_jedonfr wrote

The examples he might be using will be outdated, however, his framework around AI and the definition of AGI versus Singularity are still very relevant.

I would suggest that people interested do some research on Peter Diamandis (in the end both established the Singularity University).

Peter's book - The Future Is Faster Than You Think: How Converging Technologies Are Disrupting Business, Industries, and Our Lives is a good one. He has a podcast interviewing business leaders in the industry. He is very into the Longevity topic. This is another area that is exploding which so few people are aware of. (check out r/longevity)

David Sinclair is a must-follow on this subject, check out his podcast to get started. He is really into something. (as well as many other researchers as well of course)

3

Professional_Copy587 t1_jedo32c wrote

Ok, disregard his view. Go look at the majority of the views of the rest of the experts. They arent proclaiming this the start of the birth of AGI, ASI and the singularity like this sub is now doing on a daily basis. They are pretty clear that generative AI is a very transformative technology but it is NOT AGI. Nor do we have have any reason to think its close. Most estimates (guesses) are still 2030 or beyond

3

Sailorman2300 t1_jednzge wrote

The thing that got me thinking was when they started talking about machine time vs human time. If the human brain operates at 200Hz and has to sleep mode for 1/3 of the day every day and AI would run at gigahertz speeds 24/7 our reaction time if something does go sideways would be limited if we have any at all.

It feels like we're a bug confidently flying across the road to a big beautiful flower unaware of the oncoming windshield.

3

Professional_Copy587 t1_jednlsc wrote

I'm not. I actually do think (completely guessing) that humans create an AGI before 2032, but the hysteria and hype (and in the process the complete failure to understand how these systems work to produce the content they do) on this subreddit is reaching levels of complete delusion due to the echo chamber

10