Recent comments in /f/space

ka_tet_of_one t1_jd12mc9 wrote

I am sure of a few things.

We are not alone in the universe.

I am sure that civilizations have risen and fallen everywhere. There are some places where unicellular life is just beginning, some places where life has just begun to emerge onto land, somewhere there are people who are the equivalent of us currently and doing the exact same thing, and somewhere is 100K years ahead technologically.

There is also life that we can't explain. Silicon based, gas based, life on a subatomic level.

There is life that we can't see. They exist in infrared or ultraviolet. They exist in gamma. Perhaps in radio waves.

There are beings of light, beings of time, beings who live on a scale that we can't even comprehend.

There is also a multiverse where infinite yous are doing slightly different things at slightly different times, where the differences create an entirely new timeline for that particular you.

There is also somewhere where other you and other me are having this exact same interaction.

I think we are all too far apart in spacetime to interact. We may find unicellular and bacterial life in our system, maybe even fish-type life on Io or Ganymede. I hope so.

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jilljackmuse OP t1_jd10gwi wrote

Or perhaps almost no other intelligent alien species go through this process of "civilisation". Consider other intelligent human species and how they didn't have an agricultural revolution or civilisation. If Homo Sapiens hadn't arisen, would we be a planet with no intelligent species?

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jilljackmuse OP t1_jd108tt wrote

And I agree that there must be intelligent alien species like us out there, but what I'm saying is perhaps they're just so rare, even rarer than Drake's Equation suggests because he didn't include what a species wants to do.

Did Neanderthals or Homo Erectus want to become a technologically advanced, "civilised" species? Did most hunter-gatherer humans choose this form of society or were they replaced or subsumed by human groups that did want to do this? Look at pre-historic Europe, Neolithic farmers were known for creating segregated societies and replacing entire areas with members of their own and leading to the near-extinction of Western European Hunter-Gatherers. And that's just one case. The Yamnaya people also replaced large parts of Europe. And that's just one small continent. This happened everywhere around the planet, but mainly with our species. If there weren't any groups of "civilised" humans or if those groups were defeated by hunter-gatherer humans, perhaps we'd be just like our ancestors were for 95% of our history.

Perhaps, intelligent aliens species just didn't go down the same path because they didn't want to.

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ttkciar t1_jd101o4 wrote

I will add to this that the lifespan of a civilization after its industrial revolution might be quite short.

Our own industrial revolution has given rise to two existential crises so far -- the threat of global thermonuclear war, and the threat of climate change. The first seems to be behind us, mostly, maybe, but there were some really close calls during the Cold War. We came this || close to going out forever. The second has yet to fully play out.

Those are just the existential crises which have emerged in the 260 years of industrialization, which in the cosmological timeframe is less than the blink of an eye. If we survive this one, there will doubtless be more.

For all we know, all civilizations in the galaxy follow the pattern of a long pre-industrial existence (3.4 million years, in our case), followed by a very short industrial period, ending in annihilation.

If that's typical, then technologically advanced civilizations would only account for about 0.008% of all alien civilizations.

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reddit455 t1_jd0z6b9 wrote

>What I'm saying is, perhaps we're the only intelligent species to have gone down this specific route of industrialisation to sending radio waves into space.

there are a lot more "perhapses"

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> what if aliens simply aren't taking the same path we are (even though they may be as intelligent or more intelligent than us) and so that's why we haven't found any evidence; they're just not doing the same things as we are. If this is the case, then perhaps the nearest species that went a similar path to us is so far away and so uncommon that we may never know about them.

that is also possibly correct.

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there must be tons of civilizations.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation

The Drake equation is a probabilistic argument used to estimate the number of active, communicative extraterrestrial civilizations in the Milky Way Galaxy.

...then where are they?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fermi_paradox

The Fermi paradox is the discrepancy between the lack of conclusive evidence of advanced extraterrestrial life compared to the apparently high a priori likelihood of its existence.[1][2] As a 2015 article put it, "If life is so easy, someone from somewhere must have come calling by now."[3]

>Why do we assume

because it's all we KNOW.

we use radio, if ET uses radio, maybe we get lucky.

but since we have no idea what other means to employ - what can we possibly use other than that which we know?

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they could just as easily not have eyes, ears or mouths.

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