Recent comments in /f/worldnews

Grunchlk t1_j9ousn1 wrote

I don't disagree that Iran could make one quickly (miniaturization would take a bit longer though.) I do disagree that they're already making one because they've had this capacity for 20 years now. 2002 is when they performed the implosion tests:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/iran-nuclear-bomb-design-capability/2021/05/14/a47e75cc-b4f8-11eb-ab43-bebddc5a0f65_story.html

As of now Iran benefits more from threatening to cross the line that it does if it actually crosses it. Iran is hoping to leverage the threat to get a better deal. Maybe that won't work because of their support of Russia in the Ukraine War. However, that's what they're likely doing. If they cross the line then they likely get attacked by Israel, KSA and the US as well as max sanctions, embargoes, blockades, etc.

I highly expect Iran to state they'll be converting the TRR back to using HEU (as per its original design) instead of LEU. Then they'll have a legitimate reason for needing large quantities of weapons grade uranium. This puts them as close to that line as possible without crossing it.

If Israel, the US and KSA attack then Iran will make a bomb immediately and detonate one in the desert signalling the attacks are an existential threat which they'll respond to with maximum force.

The benefit of the JCPOA wasn't that it prevented Iran from having the know-how to make a bomb, it was that it ensured all the monitored uranium wasn't diverted and that it was converted to fuel rods (or at least stored in UN monitored containers/locations.) It also gave the IAEA broader ability to monitor for a parallel program.

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IFUCKINGLOVEMETH t1_j9osglj wrote

Teachers use simplified analogies to explain concepts to children in terms of things they already understand.

So while it might make sense to explain to a child what the Big Bang is in terms of something like a firework, the analogy is very flawed if you want to understand how cosmic inflation works in a more in-depth way.

My previous comment contains a youtube link, I think the video should clear things up for you. Here it is again: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BOLHtIWLkHg

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Grunchlk t1_j9oscwk wrote

You don't believe Iran has mastered the fuel cycle? That's demonstrably true and universally accepted. The UN, IAEA, US, EU, etc, all agree that Iran has. The fact that they can trivially produce 84% HEU is also proof.

You don't believe Iran has missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads? I'll defer to Uzi Rabin, the father of Israel's missile program, who says they do and also says their missiles are quite more advanced that people believe.

You don't believe Iran has conducted implosion tests? This is one of the major sticking points of the JCPOA, the US and UN want access to Parchin because they have evidence that Iran did exactly that.

If you believe all these things are lies then you believe that Iran isn't capable of building a bomb, and thus any talk of such is propaganda.

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IFUCKINGLOVEMETH t1_j9orf5o wrote

I think your misconception is because you imagine that the universe has a central point it's expanding away from, sort of like the way a firecracker begins at a point then explodes outward from that central point. But that's NOT how the universe expands.

Unlike a firework exploding outward from a central point, the universe has NO central point that every galaxy is moving away from. They're all moving away from eachother, but not from a center. In that sense, you could consider ANY point in the universe to be the center, since every point in the universe is moving away from every other point in the universe.

I hope this video can clarify for you: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BOLHtIWLkHg

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cobrakai11 t1_j9or739 wrote

They could have a nuclear bomb 5 years ago if they wanted to. Enrichment is not some sort of video game loading screen, where they inch closer and closer to 90%. They have all the capabilities of enriching at 90% and building a bomb if they wanted.

If Iran wanted to build a nuclear weapon they could kick out the IAEA and build one tomorrow, like North Korea did. Or they could do what Israel India and Pakistan did when they wanted nukes, and simply never signed the NPT.

People seem to forget that Iran willingly signed the NPT allowing inspections in the first place. There was no need for them to do that, as it is not illegal for a country to build nuclear bombs. That's why Israel Pakistan and India have them. It is only illegal if you agree not to build them by signing the NPT.

The idea that Iran signed the NPT 20 years ago and has allowed endless sanctions to build the slowest nuclear bomb in the history of nuclear arms is ridiculous. Less technologically advanced countries were building nuclear bombs 50,60, 70 years ago.

Like most headlines on the subject this one is worded to make you think that Iran was caught doing something and confessed. There was nothing to catch them and nothing to confess to; they broadcasted the move and have been for several months now. The IAEA is actively monitoring their program, it wasn't an accusation it was a statement of fact.

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cobrakai11 t1_j9oprc9 wrote

Iran's facilities are being monitored by the IAEA. There's nothing for them to acknowledge. This headline makes it seem like they're confessing to something, but it was done openly and in plain view of the nuclear monitors.

People seem to think that nuclear enrichment is a loading screen, now that they've done 84%, they're going to be close to getting to 90%. That's not how it works. Iran has been able to enrich 90% for a decade at least. They have never done so. Most people think that their nuclear program is on some sort of breakneck race to get to 90% and start building a bomb...that's just not true.

If Iran wanted to build a nuclear weapon they could kick out the IAEA and build one tomorrow, like North Korea did. Or they could do what Israel India and Pakistan did when they wanted nukes, and simply never signed the NPT.

They have no reason to invite the IAEA into their country while simultaneously trying to build nuclear bombs under their nose. Any country in the world that wanted to do it could do it easier.

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