FuturologyBot
FuturologyBot t1_iy3u1jd wrote
The following submission statement was provided by /u/Gari_305:
From the Article
>In 2018 at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Google CEO Sundar Pichai had something to say: “AI is probably the most important thing humanity has ever worked on. I think of it as something more profound than electricity or fire.” Pichai’s comment was met with a healthy dose of skepticism. But nearly five years later, it’s looking more and more prescient.
>
>AI translation is now so advanced that it’s on the brink of obviating language barriers on the internet among the most widely spoken languages. College professors are tearing their hair out because AI text generators can now write essays as well as your typical undergraduate — making it easy to cheat in a way no plagiarism detector can catch. AI-generated artwork is even winning state fairs. A new tool called Copilot uses machine learning to predict and complete lines of computer code, bringing the possibility of an AI system that could write itself one step closer. DeepMind’s AlphaFold system, which uses AI to predict the 3D structure of just about every protein in existence, was so impressive that the journal Science named it 2021’s Breakthrough of the Year.
>
>You can even see it in the first paragraph of this story, which was largely generated for me by the OpenAI language model GPT-3.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z6ynq6/ai_experts_are_increasingly_afraid_of_what_theyre/iy3puxb/
FuturologyBot t1_iy3smn5 wrote
Reply to ‘Life no longer as we know it’: war in space would have immediate effects, expert says | Space by Gari_305
The following submission statement was provided by /u/Gari_305:
From the Article
>It would no longer be “life as we know it” if a space war destroyed the satellites that the world now relies on, space commanders have warned, and China and Russia have demonstrated that they’re capable of doing just that.
>
>Top brass from the US and Canada are in Sydney for an Australian Strategic Policy Institute conference on space as the new frontier in “commerce, industry, competition and war”. They have discussed the importance of working with allies, including Australia, to counter the threats posed by space war.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z6yd5z/life_no_longer_as_we_know_it_war_in_space_would/iy3odxw/
FuturologyBot t1_iy3rith wrote
The following submission statement was provided by /u/Gari_305:
From the Article
>It’s important to remember that when the fertility rate declines below replacement—currently 2.1 births per woman in so-called developed countries—populations shrink. This may not be a bad thing at first since overpopulation and overconsumption are huge barriers to building sustainable societies. But there comes a point when if fertility rates don’t level off and then rise to replacement, extinction become a possibility.
>
>That is apparently where we are heading as a global society. A phenomenon as complex as fertility cannot be explained by one or even a few factors. There is, for example, what is called the “demographic transition,” a theory which posits that the size of households declines as societies industrialize. This could result from many factors such as the empowerment of women (to control their own fertility); improvements in public health and nutrition that reduce mortality among infants and children (making parents less likely to have many children because some are likely to die); the rising cost of raising and educating children; and cultural factors that lead parents to want to have more time for themselves.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z6y8xa/path_to_extinction_sperm_count_accelerates_its/iy3no6y/
FuturologyBot t1_iy3bss8 wrote
Reply to Nvidia's text to 3D model and what it means for product design and engineering by Magic-Fabric
The following submission statement was provided by /u/Magic-Fabric:
Generative AI is evolving at an exhilarating pace. The latest algorithm by Nvidia converts text into 3D mesh twice as fast as projects published barely 2 months ago. This means that the technical capabilities are now already surpassing our ability to work with them.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z6v8qg/nvidias_text_to_3d_model_and_what_it_means_for/iy38vc8/
FuturologyBot t1_iy30v9v wrote
The following submission statement was provided by /u/darth_nadoma:
As the world is transitioning away from fossil fuels, Australian mining companies are betting their future on the continent's plentiful reserves of Lithium (1/4th of global reserves) and other minerals necessary for the production of batteries, wind turbines and solar panels.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z6ssr4/nine_australian_miners_poised_to_ride_the_green/iy2yl8u/
FuturologyBot t1_ixzw6cn wrote
Reply to Large Parts of Europe Warming Twice As Fast as the Planet – Already Surpassed 2°C by filosoful
The following submission statement was provided by /u/filosoful:
The warming during the summer months in Europe has been much faster than the global average, shows a new study published in the Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres.
As a consequence of human emissions of greenhouse gases, the climate across the continent has also become drier, particularly in southern Europe, leading to worse heat waves and an increased risk of fires.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z67kjq/large_parts_of_europe_warming_twice_as_fast_as/ixzrput/
FuturologyBot t1_ixznd2t wrote
The following submission statement was provided by /u/NickDanger3di:
Submission Statement:
So a company called Cemvita Factory has developed a way to use bacteria to generate hydrogen in depleted and abandoned oil wells. Here's a select bit from the article:
>Cemvita Factory, a biotech firm in Texas, had spritzed a carefully selected combination of bacteria and nutrients down the bore hole. Once inside the well, the microbes began breaking down the residual oil hydrocarbons in there—dregs that would be unprofitable to extract—to generate hydrogen and CO2. This field test in July, though small in scale, was a “huge success,” says chief business officer Charles Nelson.
On one hand, the fact that they have proven the concept IRL, with tangible and measurable hydrogen generation in an existing oil well, bodes well. So many energy generation schemes never get off the paper they are written on (though they do get posted in this sub sometimes). On the other hand, they say this:
>Nelson explains that the firm’s goal is to treat oil wells with bacteria to enable steady, long-term hydrogen production—perhaps lasting for decades.
How do they know this is possible? Also, how is the CO2 generated at the same time dealt with; that's a huge issue. But beyond this, if we ever expect Hydrogen to become a significant source of energy, how do we get it from the production site to the end users? The Infrastructure for hydrogen is a huge and unanswered question. Can it just be pumped via the same pipes natural gas is transported in? Are all the gas stations going to be replaced by Hydrogen Stations? Do we really want the average driver handling hydrogen? All questions that we can discuss and theorize about.
Edit: typo
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z65xu6/gold_hydrogen_is_an_untapped_resource_in_depleted/ixzmd7t/
FuturologyBot t1_ixzdtbt wrote
Reply to Combining game theory with AI, Meta's Cicero was able to outsmart 90% of human players of the strategy game Diplomacy. Game theory models many forms of group human behavior, especially in politics and economics, where this AI will have many applications. by lughnasadh
The following submission statement was provided by /u/lughnasadh:
Submission Statement
Meta has had a rough few weeks with AI. Their new Galactica science summarizer got a bad reception and was shelved. However, with Cicero, it looks like they are much more successful.
This is a very interesting advance in AI as it incorporates a form of reasoning. Most of that reasoning comes from applying game theory. This is fascinating as game theory models many types of group human behavior. As ever this has black and white hat applications. I won't be surprised if the world's intelligence agencies are looking at this and wondering how to use it in psy-ops and influencing other countries.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z644ly/combining_game_theory_with_ai_metas_cicero_was/ixz8s2m/
FuturologyBot t1_ixv4b0q wrote
Reply to Nvidia has created a text-to-3D generative-AI that will allow people to make high-resolution 3D models from just text prompts. by lughnasadh
The following submission statement was provided by /u/lughnasadh:
Submission Statement
Nvidia isn't the first to do this, DreamFusion got there first, but Nvidia's AI is a significant step up in quality. Professional grade 3D modeling software, like Blender, has a steep learning curve, so this will democratize 3D content creation. Apple is rumored to have VR glasses in the works for next year. If so, there is likely to be a big increase in 3D content creation.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z5b1r8/nvidia_has_created_a_textto3d_generativeai_that/ixuznad/
FuturologyBot t1_ixupqhu wrote
The following submission statement was provided by /u/Soupjoe5:
Article:
1
Online videos are a vast and untapped source of training data—and OpenAI says it has a new way to use it.
OpenAI has built the best Minecraft-playing bot yet by making it watch 70,000 hours of video of people playing the popular computer game. It showcases a powerful new technique that could be used to train machines to carry out a wide range of tasks by binging on sites like YouTube, a vast and untapped source of training data.
The Minecraft AI learned to perform complicated sequences of keyboard and mouse clicks to complete tasks in the game, such as chopping down trees and crafting tools. It’s the first bot that can craft so-called diamond tools, a task that typically takes good human players 20 minutes of high-speed clicking—or around 24,000 actions.
The result is a breakthrough for a technique known as imitation learning, in which neural networks are trained how to perform tasks by watching humans do them. Imitation learning can be used to train AI to control robot arms, drive cars or navigate webpages.
There is a vast amount of video online showing people doing different tasks. By tapping into this resource, the researchers hope to do for imitation learning what GPT-3 did for large language models. “In the last few years we’ve seen the rise of this GPT-3 paradigm where we see amazing capabilities come from big models trained on enormous swathes of the internet,” says Bowen Baker at OpenAI, one of the team behind the new Minecraft bot. “A large part of that is because we’re modeling what humans do when they go online.”
The problem with existing approaches to imitation learning is that video demonstrations need to be labeled at each step: doing this action makes this happen, doing that action makes that happen, and so on. Annotating by hand in this way is a lot of work, and so such datasets tend to be small. Baker and his colleagues wanted to find a way to turn the millions of videos that are available online into a new dataset.
The team’s approach, called Video Pre-Training (VPT), gets around the bottleneck in imitation learning by training another neural network to label videos automatically. They first hired crowdworkers to play Minecraft, and recorded their keyboard and mouse clicks alongside the video from their screens. This gave the researchers 2000 hours of annotated Minecraft play, which they used to train a model to match actions to onscreen outcome. Clicking a mouse button in a certain situation makes the character swing its axe, for example.
The next step was to use this model to generate action labels for 70,000 hours of unlabelled video taken from the internet and then train the Minecraft bot on this larger dataset.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z58i6a/a_bot_that_watched_70000_hours_of_minecraft_could/ixulnyj/
FuturologyBot t1_ixs3vmy wrote
The following submission statement was provided by /u/Soupjoe5:
Article:
1
A PLAN to use satellites in Earth’s orbit to harvest the Sun’s energy from space and beam it down to Earth using microwaves could be up and running as early as 2030, with the first-of-a-kind operational system delivering power into the grid by 2040.
The concept of harvesting solar energy in space is not a new one, but until now, high launch costs and limited technology have hampered progress, said Space Energy Initiative (SEI), the organisation behind the solar farm project.
However, recent developments in reusable rockets, and more modular SPS concepts, coupled with benefits that include clean, continuous base-load energy day and night, through all seasons and weather, and with much lower land usage than conventional renewables, is helping the idea gain traction. And with the potential of each satellite to beam around 2.9 GW of net power to a receiving antenna at a fixed point on Earth, it’s a concept that has even attracted the attention of the the UK Government. In July ministers announced that £3m (US$3.6m) in funding would be allocated to space-based solar power (SBSP) projects after confirming the engineering feasibility of the concept through an independent study.
But, to harvest energy comparable in power output to a nuclear power station takes a satellite that is incredibly large. According to SEI a typical system comprises a constellation of massive, kilometre-scale satellites 38,000 km above the ground in a geostationary orbit. At this range the massive satellites should not cause any problems with light pollution, SEI said.
Each has very lightweight solar panels and a system of mirrors to concentrate sunlight onto the panels, generating around 3.4 GW of electricity on the satellite. This is converted into RF microwave radiation, with an efficiency of 85%.
To allow the microwave beam to lock onto the correct point, an encrypted pilot beam is transmitted from the ground to the satellite. The maximum beam intensity is <250 W/m2, less than a quarter of the maximum sun intensity at the equator, and the system will be designed so that it is safe in the event that humans or birds or animals strayed into the beam, said SEI.
The ground rectifying antenna or “rectenna” as it is called then converts the electromagnetic energy into direct current electricity which passes through an inverter which delivers a net 2 GW of AC power into the grid.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z4oukl/solar_farms_in_space_demo_could_be_ready_by_2030/ixrzam7/
FuturologyBot t1_ixrk1nd wrote
Reply to Covering a cylinder with a magnetic coil triples its energy output in nuclear fusion test by Gari_305
The following submission statement was provided by /u/Gari_305:
From the Article
>A team of researchers working at the National Ignition Facility, part of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, has found that covering a cylinder containing a small amount of hydrogen fuel with a magnetic coil and firing lasers at it triples its energy output—another step toward the development of nuclear fusion as a power source.
>
>In their paper published in the journal Physical Review Letters, the team, which has members from several facilities in the U.S., one in the U.K. and one in Japan, describes upgrading their setup to allow for the introduction of the magnetic coil.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z4lezu/covering_a_cylinder_with_a_magnetic_coil_triples/ixrfrbs/
FuturologyBot t1_ixp4q5d wrote
The following submission statement was provided by /u/darth_nadoma:
People who mocked electric cars stated that electric heavy trucks are impossible due to battery weight. But now they available for ordering from Renault. With manufacturing facility located at Bourg-en-Bresse, in the middle of France.
Weighing in at 44 tons, and capable of going 300 km on a single charge. Although Manufacturers still don't say how much weight will they be able to carry. Guess that depends on the distance.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z43fnt/renaults_heavy_electric_trucks_are_now_available/ixp1fj0/
FuturologyBot t1_ixo634p wrote
The following submission statement was provided by /u/lughnasadh:
Submission Statement
Arming robots feels inevitable. They would allow the lives of police officers to be protected, if the robots could face armed assailants instead. Russia's invasion of Ukraine has seen drones move to the forefront of 21st armed conflict. I'm surprised quadruped robots, like Boston Dynamics Spot, haven't been used more yet. The Boston Dynamics robot is expensive, but there are several inexpensive clones of it produced in China. Though a Chinese manufacturer seems to be working on something like this.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z3x1c5/san_francisco_police_propose_using_robots_capable/ixo2d87/
FuturologyBot t1_ixo470l wrote
Reply to Here’s how supporting fusion energy today could solve tomorrow’s winter heating woes by Gari_305
The following submission statement was provided by /u/Gari_305:
From the Article
>Nuclear fusion reactors around the world are being built to find the best way to control and capture the energy of such reactions.
>
>Pioneering inventors, including TAE Technologies in Southern California, are racing to bring this natural process that fuels the sun down to Earth, with terrestrial fusion power plants. It’s an idea that’s been around since the late 1950s, but that has moved forward dramatically in recent years. Commercial fusion power generation is expected by some to roll out in the 2030s — which could give the world a seismic final push to meet the UN’s 2050 climate goals, if implemented broadly and quickly.
>
>At COP27 this November, there will be plenty of talk about cutting emissions in half by 2030 to meet targets we’ve set in the Paris Agreement, and the responsibility of more developed nations to assist poorer countries that are already being battered by climate change. Nuclear fusion, however, is unlikely to be a major part of the conversation — but as the drought and heat waves in Europe, the flooding in Pakistan and Nigeria and every other climate catastrophe shows, we need large-scale changes. The transition to nuclear fusion in the coming decade could provide just that.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z3wrwb/heres_how_supporting_fusion_energy_today_could/ixo0hlv/
FuturologyBot t1_ixnhash wrote
Reply to A cheap $200 solar-power plastic robot that destroys weeds, shows that global agriculture can dramatically reduce the chemicals used in farming, and reduce the 45% of crops lost to pests. by lughnasadh
The following submission statement was provided by /u/lughnasadh:
Submission Statement
Approximately half of global agricultural farming production is lost due to pests. This robot doesn't deal with them all, just weeds, but how long before robots can tackle insects, fungi and other diseases in crops?
Doubling global food production would be a staggering achievement. It's amazing to think the mass adoption of cheap plastic robots could contribute so much to that goal.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z3solb/a_cheap_200_solarpower_plastic_robot_that/ixnci8q/
FuturologyBot t1_ixn80q8 wrote
Reply to Embrace what may be the most important green technology ever. It could save us all by filosoful
The following submission statement was provided by /u/filosoful:
Precision fermentation could produce new staple foods, and end our reliance on farming
Precision fermentation is a refined form of brewing, a means of multiplying microbes to create specific products. It has been used for many years to produce drugs and food additives.
But now, in several labs and a few factories, scientists are developing what could be a new generation of staple foods.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z3r3nd/embrace_what_may_be_the_most_important_green/ixn38v9/
FuturologyBot t1_ixmmw72 wrote
The following submission statement was provided by /u/tim_b_er:
Excerpt: It may sound like science fiction, but the techniques being used to cultivate lab-grown meat are actually pretty similar to production methods we’ve already been using for centuries. “Making beer is actually cell agriculture.” says Luining. “You’re using an organism for beer. This is yeast, and you’re feeding it hops and grains to create another product. And this is exactly what we’re doing.”
I am incredibly fascinated by this area of research. My thesis is that it will catch on far quicker than most people assume. It will definitely be a rocky transition in culture, habits, and societal acceptance, but it is becoming clear that lab grown meat is on the pathway to becoming commercially viable. Likely beginning with high end product offerings at restaurants (a Michelin-starred chef has already teamed up with a cultured meat company), and then going down market to provide alternatives to every major traditional animal product.
Personally, my passion is in researching and investing in the companies that I believe have the best chance at playing a significant role in this movement. There are very few options, and this isn't the sub to discuss them in. But if anyone wants to discuss that aspect please do message me, I'd welcome the conversation.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z3ni3f/fast_company_brew_thanksgiving_turkey_in_future/ixmipam/
FuturologyBot t1_ixmis1h wrote
Reply to China’s space station will run high-energy beam experiment for controversial solar power plant: chief scientist by Soupjoe5
The following submission statement was provided by /u/Soupjoe5:
Article:
1
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Tiangong expected to play a key role in China’s space solar power station project by providing a testing platform for high-voltage electric devices
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Space power station could point beam to almost any location, making it an ideal to power military equipment or remote outposts, says project team
China’s space station will join a controversial project to collect solar power from space and send it to Earth in a high-energy microwave beam, according to a senior scientist.
The Chinese space station Tiangong – which means “heavenly palace” – became fully operational when the last major service module, Mengtian, docked this month.
Some space scientists have suggested Tiangong – the largest infrastructure in orbit owned and run exclusively by a single country at present – can change the pace or direction of the space race.
Yang Hong, chief designer of the space station, told a conference in Wenchang, Hainan, on Tuesday that Tiangong would play a key role in China’s space solar power station (SSPS) project by providing a testing platform for high-voltage electric devices and in helping assemble ultra-large structures.
In a lecture at the conference attended by space scientists and engineers from around the world, Yang said the space station had the resources and capability to do demonstrations, “verify key technologies, accelerate technological breakthroughs and accumulate in-orbit experimental data” for the SSPS project.
He said these would help China meet its peak carbon and carbon neutral goals.
A paper published by the project team in the journal Chinese Space Science and Technology in June reported that the full-sized Chinese space solar power plant would be a 1km-wide structure beaming gigawatt-power microwaves to Earth from a distance of 36,000km (22,4000 miles).
Unlike traditional solar farms that work only during the day, the space-based solar array would collect and transmit energy 24 hours a day, it said.
The microwave beams could penetrate clouds and be picked up by an antenna on the ground to generate electricity.
Operating in the geostationary orbit, the space power station could direct the beam to almost any location, making it an ideal candidate to power military equipment or remote outposts, the team said. However, some researchers have also speculated that the beam could be used as a weapon.
The European Union and many countries, including Japan, Britain and the United States, have launched research programmes to develop similar technologies.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z3mpqv/chinas_space_station_will_run_highenergy_beam/ixmdhha/
FuturologyBot t1_ixmekos wrote
The following submission statement was provided by /u/Marciu73:
It’s a small step, but it could start an incredible journey.
Today, the ministerial council of the European Space Agency (ESA) said it would proceed with a feasibility study into space-based solar power (SBSP) generation.
The decision, thrashed out among ESA member-country ministers over 22-23 November in Paris, means SBSP is now formally on the ESA’s strategic agenda.
The idea is eventually to launch big solar-farm satellites into orbit around Earth so they can harvest the Sun’s energy outside Earth’s atmosphere, where it’s more intense, and beam it wirelessly to receivers on Earth.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z3m019/european_space_agency_to_probe_solar_power_from/ixm9r3b/
FuturologyBot t1_ixm85fj wrote
Reply to Cheap, sensor-based agriculture could slash water use by up to 70% | We could definitely use something like this with all the droughts around. by chrisdh79
The following submission statement was provided by /u/chrisdh79:
From the article: For all the progress our society has made, we’re still nothing without agriculture. But agriculture has also changed a lot: increasingly, an array of sensors equipped with relatively simple hardware and smart software are being used to make agriculture more efficient and sustainable — and given that agriculture is one of the main contributors to habitat destruction and climate change, this would definitely come in handy.
But unexpected help may come from the internet. The internet you’re using to read this now can be used for a number of different things, including connecting sensors and other objects.
The so-called Internet of Things (IoT) means that you no longer need to go out into a field to inspect it and take samples for analysis — you can leave the sensors in place and they communicate using wireless protocols. These technologies have advanced tremendously in recent years, becoming not only more precise and robust, but also cheaper — a key demand for agriculture.
It works like this: you plant a bunch of sensors to measure things like soil moisture, fertilizer content, and other parameters of interest. You connect the irrigation systems to the sensors and only irrigate when it’s necessary, and where it’s necessary. You can use the same approach for estimating soil nutrient levels and identifying pests, making the entire process as efficient as possible.
The results are, with today’s technology, striking: studies show that between 20% to 72% of water usage can be reduced with this approach, saving money and valuable environmental resources. There’s no doubt that the method has a lot of potential and can be used in most places in the world — although it’s noteworthy that some of the bread baskets of the world still lack access to reliable, high-speed internet.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z3l02v/cheap_sensorbased_agriculture_could_slash_water/ixm4tsb/
FuturologyBot t1_ixlarh4 wrote
Reply to Is the unrestricted Internet an illusion? Welcome to the Splinternet. A digital cold war in focus. - Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies by CPHfuturesstudies
The following submission statement was provided by /u/CPHfuturesstudies:
Submission Statement: In many ways, the borderless nature of the internet is essential to its functioning as a global communications channel. The fact that a hypertext link can point to anything that exists anywhere in cyberspace is something that has long been taken for granted. Yet, in other ways, the open and unrestricted internet is more of an illusion than reality. On multiple levels, the net is fragmenting into separate domains that are no longer able or willing to connect. This fragmentation – sometimes referred to as the ‘Splinternet’– is happening along geopolitical lines, pointing to a potential future where ‘global connectivity’ is not so global anymore, but separated by digital iron curtains set up by rivalling great powers – with the US, the EU, China, and Russia being the primary actors.
This article was first published in FARSIGHT - Futures Reviewed. A quarterly futures publication by Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z3dilx/is_the_unrestricted_internet_an_illusion_welcome/ixl84wv/
FuturologyBot t1_ixkdqvd wrote
Reply to Training Our Future Rulers - Meta researchers create AI that masters (the board game) 'Diplomacy', tricking human players. Meta's Cicero can negotiate or persuade with natural language—just like a human. by izumi3682
The following submission statement was provided by /u/izumi3682:
Submission statement from OP. Note: This submission statement "locks in" after about 30 minutes, and can no longer be edited. Please refer to my statement they link, which I can continue to edit. I often edit my submission statement, sometimes for the next few days if needs must. There is often required additional grammatical editing and additional added detail.
Here is the research paper.
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.ade9097
From the article.
>To create Cicero, Meta pulled together AI models for strategic reasoning (similar to AlphaGo) and natural language processing (similar to GPT-3) and rolled them into one agent. During each game, Cicero looks at the state of the game board and the conversation history and predicts how other players will act. It crafts a plan that it executes through a language model that can generate human-like dialogue, allowing it to coordinate with other players.
>Meta calls Cicero's natural language skills a "controllable dialogue model," which is where the heart of Cicero's personality lies. Like GPT-3, Cicero pulls from a large corpus of Internet text scraped from the web. "To build a controllable dialogue model, we started with a 2.7 billion parameter BART-like language model pre-trained on text from the Internet and fine tuned on over 40,000 human games on webDiplomacy.net," writes Meta.
>The resulting model mastered the intricacies of a complex game. "Cicero can deduce, for example, that later in the game it will need the support of one particular player," says Meta, "and then craft a strategy to win that person’s favor—and even recognize the risks and opportunities that that player sees from their particular point of view."
So, my question is, is this an "incremental improvement" in our AI development efforts, or is this more like the "AI significantly improves every three months" level of improvement.
https://www.ml-science.com/exponential-growth
Are we seeing any evidence that AI of any form is improving significantly every 3 months?
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z36el2/training_our_future_rulers_meta_researchers/ixk6ojd/
FuturologyBot t1_ixixzuq wrote
Reply to Next generation solar modules get European funding - four-year project includes 17 partners from 12 countries across Europe, with a key objective to demonstrate 26%-efficient modules or higher on industrial scale. Two key companies involved - Q Cells & HZB. by ForHidingSquirrels
The following submission statement was provided by /u/ForHidingSquirrels:
The key technology they’re seeking to develop are perovskite plus silicon tandem solar modules. I’ve read research suggesting this combination could reach up to 35% solar cells – meaning a 33’ish% solar module. Most solar panels today are about 20-22% efficient - reaching 33 - increase by about 50% - would probably drop the cost of solar electricity by 50% (different 50% numbers).
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z2y3ru/next_generation_solar_modules_get_european/ixitlpa/
FuturologyBot t1_iy3wdwt wrote
Reply to An AI-generated cover version of Dolly Parton's "Jolene" with a deep-faked singer's voice, shows us a world of AI-generated music is coming. by lughnasadh
The following submission statement was provided by /u/lughnasadh:
Submission Statement
Here's a link to the song.
What's interesting is that it's surprisingly good, as the AI nails using the human voice clone expressively. The song needs a suitable emotional register of heartbreak, and the AI gives it that.
I wonder what this means for the future of the music business? Will the biggest-selling artists still be able to make as much money when their voice has been endlessly cloned for thousands of cover versions? Presumably, we will have a future where every popular song has been covered by thousands, if not millions, of deep-faked voices. When will we reach a point AI deep-faked songs outnumber the human ones?
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z6yxws/an_aigenerated_cover_version_of_dolly_partons/iy3rbhh/