if you model each race as a coin flip then it's irrelevant to reality, which is the point I (clumsily) tried to make - it's arithmetically/statistically OK but says nothing whatsoever about how likely it is that the situation will occur in a real election involving real people.

This is the "spherical horse in a vacuum" situation: Reduce the problem's complexities to fit our ability to calculate.

perfectly reasonable - leave it up to the Gods if humans can't decide

this isn't a case where you can "calculate the odds" since it's so dependent on variables of behavior, history, etc. - it's not an arithmetic problem

There are literally hundreds of named hiking trails in New Hampshire - in New England, probably thousands. There's no master list of all of them ranked by some sort of objective measure, partly because different people value difference things.

Don't sweat lists. Hit some likely-sounding trails near you, see what you like (views? varied surroundings? distance? woods/fields/rock scrambling?) and keep going from there.

I have a pellet stove that acts as supplemental heat to (boo, hiss!) fuel oil. Looking into switching to heat pumps.

6% of New Hampshire households rely on wood as a primary source of home heating.

that includes both firewood and pellet stoves or boilers.

according to the state: https://www.energy.nh.gov/energy-information/energy-new-hampshire

The clerk of the NH House recently tweeted that it's possible we'll get a 200-200 split.

That would be ... interesting.

Just FYI: In most (all?) states you can see who voted in any recent election. You cannot see who they voted for, of course.

As others note, its not the shoes but the added grips you attach to them. I suggest having a pain by the front door with the grips (yak trax or whatever) attached, so you don't have to put them on and off. That's what I do.

Speaking as a dad, the internet has ruined my reputation for wisdom and knowledge.

I dogear my own books (not borrowed, obviously) but not to mark my place, just to highlight, almost always in non-fiction.

Dogearing acts as a reminder to Future Me when rereading that there's something on this page which drew the attention of Past Me.

Above and beyond the information on the page, this is a reminder about what things were new or intriguing to Past Me, giving insight to how I have (hopefully) changed over time.

Concord is a nice small city - the downown has gotten a lot livelier. It's 45 min.'s further away from Boston than Nashua but 45 min's closer to skiing.

One thing that's worse than NYC area: There's no public transport to speak of in NH. If you can't walk to someplace, you'll ABD - Always Be Driving.

As the wikipedia article on Mt. Monadnock points out, there was never any actual evidence for this claim; it was a guess, probably boosted by state tourism folks. After all, it's not like there's accurate data on number of annual climbers for every popular small mountain in the world!

But Monadnock can be wicked crowded on a nice weekend, that's for sure.

As a fallback, see if there's a makerplace around you with a metal shop - they often teach welding. But these schools sound much more likely.

This is the only study of political lawn signs I have ever seen. It found a 1.7% increase for candidates with lots of signs. Not much of an effect on voters.

However, lots of sign may draw donations and spur volunteers by making it seem the candidate is popular. That can't be discounted.

https://www.politico.com/story/2015/12/campaign-lawn-signs-little-effect-217166

Buddy, we're all related.

I am certain that all UAP will end up EAP if enough resources are spent on the search. But maybe the existence of this team will shut up all the "government is hiding aliens!" goofballs.

Yeah, sure it will.

That's the Birchwood Inn, half-hidden on the right. Good pub, good food, music.

There are two parallel efforts to restore the American chestnut - a long-running effort to cross breed w/ Chinese chestnut, which is resistant to the blight, and a newer effort that implants a gene from grass (maybe wheat?) that neutralizes the effect of the blight. The GMO tree is close to getting permission for release into the wild, although the anti-GMO folks are fighting it.

But when it's got a foot of snow atop it, there's no root-tripping! And much easier on the knees coming downhill.

Ford Escape plug-in - not as good as the RAV4 but still eligible for the 7500 tax credit unlike the Toyota.

Many scientists see fusion as a techy dream that distracts us from what needs to be done soon - and they're betting bigger.

You're obviously not a woman.

They are faces scraped from online sources that people in an office slapped together, pretending they have some shared political enthusiasm.