Lawjarp2

Lawjarp2 t1_j1t0wpg wrote

Elites in most democratic countries are elites because of money which will become redundant with AI. If you make all your money selling consumer goods and there are no consumers you won't be so rich. There are also people who are truly resource and production rich and they will prosper with AGI.

But there are also other kind of elites, power elites, who mostly are in the goverment or other big entities that nearly like one(say like samsung in Korea). These are going to have the greatest incentive to keep AI for themselves. So wherever there are more elites with unchecked powers like in China, Russia, Iran etc it is likely the people will get ignored or kept barely satisfied cut off from rest of the world.

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Lawjarp2 t1_j1owwwt wrote

Yeah. But forever is a long time. I'd settle for having the ability go out on my own terms.

What's stopping us? Other than not having the tech, a lot of what you think you are is tied down to the body. Easier to create AGI than upload minds. Both will be revolutionary.

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Lawjarp2 t1_j1oq6lk wrote

IQ tests lose relevance completely on non human subjects. If LLM's were trained for IQ tests they would be exceptional at it, but they may still not be able to have a simple conversation. IQ tests presume that a great deal of abilities to be normal and common to all humans. AI could lack a lot of them and still beat all humans on IQ tests.

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Lawjarp2 t1_j0lulq0 wrote

From someone who has thought of similar things a while ago, it is very difficult to beat the established companies. These people were doing AI decades ago and the probability of you beating them alone is abysmal. Better to build a company in something else that might benefit from AI.

This is not easy money like bitcoin was. You can't just hodl your way to billions.

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Lawjarp2 t1_iw5s2u1 wrote

A significant chance maybe but not >50%. A great deal of ML teams have been lost, companies that developed open source tools like meta, Google have lost a lot of their stock value. The recession will undoubtedly have an impact.

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Lawjarp2 t1_itontgf wrote

Have a good financial condition. Save enough to survive 2 years on your own. Likely you will not need much because if a lot of people are jobless, UBI will be given soon. It's a lot easier if you reduce expenses to as little as possible. Most people just spend large parts of income on rent, but if there is no job, no point in living in an expensive place closer to nowhere now. Rents will drop heavily in such areas.

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Lawjarp2 t1_itkratm wrote

Necessity is what I'm arguing about. Feelings like the ones primates have are relevant only in the context of primates. Apes thinking evolved humans will simulate them to learn about them is just as stupid as humans thinking post-humans would. One, because it's unnecessary since it's easier to create a literal physical zoo and two we don't waste a lot of energy doing ape simulations precise to the quantum level because it's expensive energy wise.

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Lawjarp2 t1_itkqrgb wrote

Self-improve is misleading. Feeding outputs like they do is still just optimization. Self Improvement would somehow imply it can gain unforeseen abilities, not a small improvement over the existing. Also it would imply that it can keep doing the same forever. This cannot, otherwise we would see AGI now and not a few percent increment

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Lawjarp2 t1_itdiufe wrote

You will have better luck getting to know that by asking Sam Altman on Twitter than here. This is asked so many times that my answer now is, we'll get there when we get there.

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