Soon. How soon? In the 2020's. I can't wait for my harem of Nitro+Chiral husbandos.

I haven't watched the show, but I'm not a fan of the art style.

Nothing. If AI is truly transformative (which it will be), there won't be economic systems in 2040.

Why do you not want virtual taste to be developed?

Virtual taste will definitely happen.

Our senses in virtual worlds will be identical to our senses in this world.

The rate of AI progress.

What's required for full dive are molecular nanotechnology and brain computer interfaces, and while those areas of research aren't yet accelerating like AI, they will soon; I expect proto-AGI will be created in either 2023 or 2024 (probably because of the scaled up Gato), which should accelerate all lines of research faster than anything before, so that's how I came up with my time frame prediction of 2029 for full dive (and AGI in general).

I know there are a lot more senses than just touch, taste, smell, sight, and hearing.

Never dismiss exponential growth; progress (which is accelerating) happens faster than we think and I consider that fact when I make time frame predictions.

Full dive virtual reality will give people what real life never has been able to: 2D art styles in 3D spaces, or, in other words: real life anime and manhwa and an indefinite amount of other mediums we can't even imagine yet.

As someone who loves the look of 2D and hates the look of 3D, words can't describe how excited I am to go into stylized environments, and if I'm right, this will finally become possible in 2029, but I hope I'm wrong and it happens even sooner.

AI will create never-ending games that people will experience in full dive virtual reality.

You'll be in control of those virtual worlds. The AI will come up with its own original content based on your exact specifications or nothing in particular. Or you could spend time in virtual worlds based on pre-existing IP's. Or a mixture. The choice will be yours.

I think full dive VR will be available for all in 2029 because of exponential growth.

Dirt, water and air are not hard to get for most people, and none of those things will be hard to get for anyone with future technologies.

You don't understand the exitement for molecular nanotechnology? Not only will it end scarcity, it'll also create nanomedicine, which will cure all medical conditions.

Nuclear fusion will enable unlimited energy, and if technology is advanced enough for a nanofactory, then molecular nanotechnology exists, and that would enable the advent of any tech we could think of. Everyone will have perovskite solar cells. The raw materials could be made with the nanofactory after it gets the raw materials in the first place.

Nanofactories will enable post-scarcity for everyone.

"But governments and corporations won't let that happen!"

Then I'd just leave the planet in my molecularly manufactured spaceship and go somewhere else with my nanofactory that'll allow me to create everything I want with a few raw materials.

There are graphs showing that exponential growth is real; Ray Kurzweil shows them in his books and presentations.

I've been thinking about compiling all of those graphs into a thread just so the information is readily available, so I should stop being lazy and make that thread.

My prediction is AGI will happen in 2029 and then ASI in 2030, but I really hope I'm wrong and you're right, because the faster the singularity begins, the better.

I've said many times on this subreddit that I think AGI will be here in the 2020's and ASI will follow in 2030, which I think now more than ever, and that's thanks to the start of a new industrial revolution, so progress will accelerate faster than even I think it will.

Nuclear fusion providing unlimited clean energy for everyone might happen in the 2020's (my orginal prediction was the 2040's, but AI and breakthroughs like this changed that), which would obviously change the world for the better immediately.

ChatGPT won't automate all of the jobs, but GPT-4 will probably automate some of them.

When do you think the nanofactory will be created? My guess is 2029, but since you seem to think the singularity will happen by 2025, I'm guessing you think it's around that time, right?

The thing is that there will be a paradigm shift in everything (including global warming), meaning change will definitely occur, an example of which is that nuclear fusion will enable unlimited energy, so I see a golden future for everyone.

I don't see how resources could realistically be scarce with the technologies in the pipeline, not only the nanofactory, but also perovskite solar cells; such technologies will enable everyone to become entirely self-sustaining.

I think we'll have post-scarcity before the singularity because of the nanofactory which doesn't even require AGI (but AGI will significantly accelerate the advent of the nanofactory).

Support universal basic income. Literally every job will be automated in the 2020's or the 2030's.

I think there's a good chance that GPT-4 will indeed pass the Turing test.

Both music and video synthesis will be as advanced as image synthesis is now; text-to-game; GPT-4 will falsely be called AGI (but it might be proto-AGI if the rumors are true); the scaled up Gato will at least be approaching proto-AGI; more AI companies will rightfully focus on multimodality; more automation; greater support for basic income because of the aforementioned automation; the ozone layer will continue healing; computer simulations will significantly improve; "The Singularity is Nearer" will be delayed again as is tradition.

"Don't look at where we are now; look at where we will be two more papers down the line."