Sashinii

Sashinii t1_j2urp02 wrote

Reply to Asked ChatGPT to write the best supplement stack for increasing intelligence by micahdjt1221

ChatGPT is a fun tool to play around with while waiting for GPT-4 to be released, and I'm not saying OP does this, but please don't blindly take medical advice from a chatbot. AI will surpass today's expert medical advice in the future, but not yet, not without AGI.

I heard about a case where a chatbot was able to help accurately diagnose a medical condition that doctors weren't able to for many years, but that shouldn't be expected to be the typical result, so if you do ask a chatbot for medical advice, ask your doctor about it, but please don't just assume the chatbot is definitely correct, because it probably isn't.

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Sashinii t1_j2u3def wrote

Reply to Will the AI be able to fart or masturbate? by Snoo68113

I asked ChatGPT to write poems about this; here's two of them fused into one philsophical poem:

"Will the AI be able to fart or masturbate?
No, it's not within their programming state.
For these actions require a physical trait,
Something AI systems simply don't possess, be it
Farting or masturbating, it's just not their thing.
They're here to solve problems, not to spread their scent or sing.
So let's not worry about AI farting or masturbating,
And instead focus on the tasks they're capable of creating.

Will the AI be able to fart or masturbate?
No, it's not within their capabilities to create
The sound or motion of such bodily functions.
Their programming doesn't include such distractions.
Farting and masturbating serve no purpose or goal
For an AI system, so they don't need to know or be whole
In such physical ways. Their focus is elsewhere,
On tasks and problems that require their intellectual, digital care.
So let's not worry about AI farting or masturbating,
But instead appreciate their abilities that are fascinating."

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Sashinii t1_j2bp5mo wrote

Reply to When is GPT4 expected to release? by [deleted]

GPT-4 is rumored to release in either December (nope), January or February, and while we don't know, it seems likely it'll release in 2023, but if it doesn't, there's other AI's to look forward to.

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Sashinii t1_j2709i2 wrote

Reply to When will AI make a movie for me? by NotANumber13

AI such as Phenaki already does this to some extent, but most people can't use the tech yet.

I think publically available text-to-video synthesis in 2023 and it'll be perfected in 2026.

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Sashinii t1_j1siccq wrote

Reply to Will the singularity require political revolution to be of maximum benefit? If so, what ideas need to change? by OldWorldRevival

No. The singularity will qualitatively change everything.

But before the singularity, there will be AGI, which I think will lead to the advent of the technologies that will enable post-scarcity, so there won't be any politics or economic systems.

That might sound crazy, but given the tools AGI will provide, I think most people will leave Earth with their nanofactory and enjoy whatever there is to enjoy beyond just being on a single planet.

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Sashinii t1_j1nu4hj wrote

Reply to RethinkX and the Star Trek economy by Green-Future_

Poverty is already a political choice. Give everyone basic income and nobody would be in poverty, and that money would go into the economy, and the government would make money every year.

But since politics is stupid, basic income won't happen worldwide soon enough, so an alternative is required: apply AI to atomically precise manufacturing research to bring its advent closer to reality so the nanofactory will finally be created which will enable post-scarcity for everyone.

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Sashinii t1_j1g6o2q wrote

Reply to comment by fortunum in Hype bubble by fortunum

This Yuil Ban thread - Foundations of the Fourth Industrial Revolution - explains it best. While I recommend reading the entire thread, if you don't want to, here are some quotes:

"The Fourth Industrial Revolution is the upcoming/current one. And this goes into my second point: we won't know when the Fourth Industrial Revolution started until WELL after it's underway.

Next, "inter-revolutionary period" refers to the fact that technology generally progresses in inter-twining S-curves and right as one paradigm peaks, another troughs before rising. This is why people between 1920-1940 and between 2000 and 2020 felt like all the great technologies of their preceding industrial revolutions had given way to incremental iterative improvements and great laboratory advancements that never seemed capable of actually leaving the laboratory. If you ever wondered why the 2000s and 2010s felt indistinguishable and slow, as if nothing changed from 1999 to the present, it was because you were living in that intermediate period between technological revolutions. During that time, all the necessary components for the Fourth Industrial Revolution were being set up as the foundations for what we're seeing now while simultaneously all the fruits of the Third Industrial Revolution were fully maturing and perhaps even starting to spoil, with nothing particularly overwhelming pushing things forward. You might remember this as "foundational futurism."

As it stands, a lot of foundational stuff tends to be pretty boring on its own. Science fiction talks of the future being things like flying cars, autonomous cars, humanoid servant robots, synthetic media, space colonies, neurotechnology, and so on. Sci-fi media sometimes set years for these things to happen, like the 1990s or 2000s. Past futurists often set similar dates. Dates like, say, 2020 AD. According to Blade Runner, we're supposed to have off-world colonies and 100% realistic humanoid robots (e.g. with human-level artificial general intelligence) by now. According to Ray Kurzweil, we were supposed to have widespread human-AI relationships (ala Her) and PCs with the same power as the human brain by 2019. When these dates passed and the most we had was, say, the Web 2.0 and smartphones, we felt depressed about the future.

But here's the thing: we're basically asking why we don't have a completed 2-story house when we're still setting down the foundation, a foundation using tools that were created in the preceding years.

We couldn't get to the modern internet without P2P, VoIP, enterprise instant messaging, e-payments, business rules management, wireless LANs, enterprise portals, chatbots, and so on. Things that are so fundamental to how the internet circa 2020 works that we can scarcely even consider them individually. No increased bandwidth for computer connections? No audio or video streaming. No automated trading or increased use of chatbots? No fully automated businesses. No P2P? No blockchain. No smartphones or data sharing? No large data sets that can be used to power machine learning, and thus no advanced AI.

Finally and a bit more lightheartedly, I'd strongly recommend against using this to predict future industrial revolutions unless you're writing a pulp sci-fi story and need to figure out roughly when the 37th industrial revolution will be underway. If the Fourth Industrial Revolution pans out the way I feel it will, there won't be a Fifth. Or perhaps more accurately, we won't be able to predict the Fifth, specifically when it'll take place and what it will involve."

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Sashinii t1_j1g1h8n wrote

Reply to Hype bubble by fortunum

Exponential growth is real and that fact shouldn't be ignored; it's why some time frame predictions seem way too optimistic but are actually rational.

There's an OurWorldInData article with graphs showing examples of exponential growth here.

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