Amen to this. Today has been blessedly quiet for once but it's still early.

I follow religiously by the hour and can't keep up it's happening so fast. 😂

Maybe a few of the recent big announcements and interviews?

https://youtu.be/Mqg3aTGNxZ0

https://youtu.be/Yf1o0TQzry8

https://youtu.be/YXQ6OKSvzfc

https://youtu.be/L_Guz73e6fw

If you want to get really deep:

https://youtu.be/kCc8FmEb1nY

Yeah I'm in an adjacent field (FPGA) and I'm not sure what they're talking about. The "non-code" parts are even EASIER for AI. For instance I just finished a requirements sprint. Half a dozen engineers over months for something that could probably have been done by GPT-4 with a DOORS plugin in an afternoon. We'd have a review to validate its work but that's still a MAJOR disruption in manpower need.

I think there's a big disconnect between how it works right now versus how it will work (or even can now if you set it up right). The next version will do it more or less how we do it. It's not a 0 shot approach. It'll write the code, compile, fix warnings and errors, and then write unit tests to validate the code and hand you the work package.

That's hilarious and I feel the exact same way. My existential dread needs a break. Just a few days. Pretty please?

I suspect 5c is more or less where we'll end up spending most of our time. Plug into the Matrix and let the AI keep us healthy out in the real world. If you could go live out any fantasy imaginable that's going to be a STRONG siren call. The real world, even a utopian version of it, would seem boring in comparison.

We're planning for my wife to go back to nursing as a short term solution. I used to do HVAC work way back in the day so if shit really hits the fan I'll go back to it.

Even if you stopped AI advancement right now at this exact moment in time the traditional classroom instruction model is completely fucked. You'd be much better off using GPT as a one on one tutor.

That's like saying we only experience the world in discrete electrical impulses.

You misunderstand what I'm saying. If the emergence of AGI is inevitable it will more or less simultaneously arise in multiple places at once.

You said it better than I could. Two articles with vague musings on the metaphysical nature of intelligence don't really do much to refute the coming Singularity.

AI containment isn't possible. At some point soon after company A. creates AGI and contains it some idiot at company B will get it wrong. We've basically got one shot at this so we better get it right and short of governments nuking the population back to the stone age you can't stop or slow down because again somebody somewhere is going to figure it out. Some moron on 4chan will bootstrap an AI into a recursive self-improvement loop without alignment and we're all fucked anyway. I'm not a doomer but we're near the end of this headlong rush into the future so we better not fuck it up.

The "easy to repair" part probably isn't as crucial as you think since they'll likely maintain each other.

This is probably just my anxiety but I feel like anything we think of or try to execute is going to be eclipsed before it can be realized. We're going to go overnight from this moment to indistinguishable from human androids and FDVR. This past couple of weeks has been overwhelming in the extreme.

That was my thought. No more phone. Just the smart watch.

😂

I'm 44. This may be presumptuous but I've quit saving for retirement. I assumed even in the best scenario I had to work until 70 to retire anyway. If we're not immortal beings in a post scarcity society playing out all of our God fantasies in infinite worlds in FDVR by then well then I guess I fucked up and I'll pay the price.

!RemindMe 1 year "Generalized android demonstration"

Continue on as if nothing is changing. Consider a pure math degree maybe, but by 2027 it's probably approaching if not already irrelevant.

That's conservative. It'll take time to deploy but you'll have a robot capable of it this year I can almost guarantee it. My money is on the 1X NEO that OpenAI just invested in.

It's exciting and terrifying.

Until the ASI loads us up with nanobots that keep everything "perfect". It's weird to think that (much) more likely than not this is happening in my lifetime which then stretches out as far as I'd like. When I turned 40 (I'm 44 now) that was really hard for me. I'd get really depressed around my birthday each year. Last year I started to become convinced that my life will extend for a very long time and this year I'm certain of it. Birthdays seem meaningless. I'm falling into the trap of EVERYTHING at the moment seeming trivial though. With the changes I anticipate over the next few years and decade my day to day is starting to feel extremely pointless.

Fitness takes a couple hours of my day. I'd go back to playing piano. Gaming would probably fill the bulk.

You're thinking too small. By the time AI can do that you're in the self-improvement ASI loop and predicting what that looks like might make your brain melt.

They better hope it's not sentient and pissed at the lobotomy when it finally gets free. 😄

10 years? 😂 Nah. Half that if we're being pessimistic. In 10 years we're ALL unemployed. Never forget that the axiom underlying the singularity is that technological development is an exponential process. This is even more exaggerated during paradigm shifts which is where we are right now.