Jesus, it feels like they went from aggressive startup to excessive beuracracy in it's short history. This is what gives startups the opportunity in the first place.

Google is positioned to dominate AI.. but they might be getting in their own way

>Trevor_GoodchiId

Will give these a read tomorrow :D Thanks for the links. Off to bed for me atm

I certainly wouldn't say it has no idea what a Meerkat or cards are.

Dall-e has the same structure as ChatGTP. With Dall-E you can ask for the back of a Meerkat, or a stack of cards in the shape of a Meerkat.

It deeply understands what the concept it and how to 'draw' it.

So ChatGTP certainly would have a conceptual understanding of ideas.

Gay Hitler. I agree that there is a slim chance it could be in the next two years with unlikely. Keep being a homo.

People will look back and say "of course a computer can do that".

I remember seeing deepminds AI play breakout/pong and I was amazed. But I think about it now and I'm like.. of course AI can play breakout.

Pretty much.

Like I asked it "based on these blood test results, what are possible explanations". Then I zoomed in on two of the 8 answers for more detail. I eliminated one of them then asked it to explain in more detail the primary cause and the symtoms and stuff.

Then got it to explain all the other factors in detail.

It was cool because if Id like to ask my doctor all these questions but can't really do so in a 15 minute appointment (nor would it be worth the $$ to book a longer one).

Anyways, super helpful and highly recommended

Interesting thoughts. I like the idea of nano medicine.

My 2 cents

The first stage will be using existing sensors to gather and process the information properly. This will be taking all your blood tests, scans, diet, symptoms to create personalized recommendations, mostly proactive.ideally also input your entire genome to help predict issues.

Then we will have new devices that AI helped created. I'm guessing mostly sensors to monitor your body and perhaps customized nutrion/probiotics. Basically just accelerating to market things that are already in the works.

Then we get into the real interesting stuff. Once AI has ramped up properly and can integrate itself into the manufacturing, then you get BMIs that can let you workoit harder, control your emotions better, treat a variety of mental illnesses, etc, customized mRNA for anti aging, enhanced physical and mental abilities, customized hormone production, etc. Far more detailed monitoring that can likely react with dosing of hormones. And likely automated hospital stations that can do detailed scanning and treat anything from a cavity or minor bruise to surgery.

All automated at the cost of materials that were created by robots in the first place. Imagine an AI picked up on some detail, recommended you get a scan, find a cancerous little group of cells, get a customized mRNA shot, and the cancer is gone.

Vs traditional medicine now which will look like the dark ages...!

I have used chatgtp to help diagnose a problem I have and it was insanely helpful. I'm obviously talking to health professionals but instead of asking them a bunch of simple questions I can ask to my heart's content to gtp.

Can't wait for the next version

Tesla is trying to solve FSD everywhere not on small isolated areas. Their progress is ramping exponentially. I think it will be solved on 18 months-ish. They are already focused on building the robo taxi

I agree.. but I think id rather have AI reviewing scans and results first

And also autonomous vehicles so you can just rent the car when you need it

I seriously doubt that. Chatgtp acquired users faster than any tech company.

Heh, I completely agree with you but I was thinking of when a human first learns a new skill it takes up all their brainpower and focus, but once mastered can be done without thought. Kinda like how getting an AI to do something first takes a lot of power but once we nail it we can reduce it signifigantly.

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AGI will be able to optimize itself like no ones business. I think our hardware is powerful enough for an AGI... but to get there we will need more power as we can't write god like AI

!RemindMe 17 years

The next decade will be the biggest jump in your life.

You will likely eat mostly 'fake' meat grown in bioreactors.

Your power will be very cheap and powered by renewables (mostly solar)

Your driving will be done for you with autonomous vehicles

Humanoid robots will do the strenuous manual labour

You will have an AI assistant that will be every specialist in one (a phycologist, personal trainer, personal coach, medical specialist, engineer, coder, etc) accessible for a few bucks per month.

There will be far more higher quality content (movies, TV shows, music, etc) that are created by AI

People will have BMI's installed. These are implants into your brain that help you remember things better, access the internet, control emotions easier, etc. This will be like the introduction of the first smart phone.

Am I missing anything?

Remindme! 1 year

!remindme 1 year

By the end of the year I will again update my expectations for AGI. Current prediction is surely by 2030 and a decent chance by 2026-2028 and extremely slim by 2025. Hopefully by the years end it will be updated to even sooner.

Next year we will see gtp-4 and models from others that can do text, audio and visuals in the same model. By the end of the year you will be able to talk to the model.

Tesla will have pretty much nailed self driving and will start preparing for a city to test robotaxis and the M2. Tesla bot will be able to navigate and receive commands. They will start their, manufacturing line and have a hundred of them working at tesla factories.

Deepmind is a curve ball. Not sure what to predict for them. Hoping for a breakthrough structure. But I think they will have an AI that can use tools to help solve problems (eg code, calculators, google, read papers, perhaps simulations).

There will be an app that uses AI heavily to become a fad.

Can you share more of what the good folks over at openai have said?

If you are seeing such progress why is your agi estimates late 2040's?

Ok. I guess I meant to say why not focus on a new application?

Completely agree.

This year is when we get to start using AI tools directly and it feels like more and more tools are becoming available. It has also started taking more of my mind space and predicting where it will go.

With so many opportunities for them to go after why did they copy Deepmind?

Jeff can get away with it because of the government. You shouldn't blame Jeff for been so greedy, but the US government for allowing it

Yes eventually, but people will deny their rights and consciousness for a long time. However I think we are a short hop from AGI so that period hopefully will be short lived