botfiddler
botfiddler t1_iwyinks wrote
Reply to comment by ihateshadylandlords in The time it took to get to the moon. by Redvolition
Made some nice pics of Pluto with a probe. Sending another probe outside of our solar system. Found some exoplanets using telescopes, up to 10k-25k light-years away from us (sources vary). Also, doing gravity astronomy now, looking back close to the beginning of the universe.
Edit: Better grammar.
botfiddler t1_iwyhy2g wrote
Reply to comment by VeryOriginalName98 in The time it took to get to the moon. by Redvolition
The way he put it could imply, that he believes some of the technologies were bought from aliens. 😆 Or it was a joke 🙄
botfiddler t1_iwyhru2 wrote
Reply to comment by CyberBullMoose in The time it took to get to the moon. by Redvolition
I'm rather a bit careful or conservative, but I think it's likely that in 10 years from now 50-90% of all office jobs can be replaced with some AI. This might still not happen immediately as soon as it's possible, and there might be some new jobs created at the same time, but it's going to be wild anyways.
Just ask yourself how many here would be impacted by that.
botfiddler t1_iwmltmn wrote
Reply to If humans have the capability to create an artificial super intelligence (asi), why aren't we seeing any from previous civilisations? by StaerDuck
Why do you imply that we all agree that there were industrialized civilizations before us? Joe Rogan interviews? There most likely weren't any, and I strongly assume that something like us humans is probably quite unique or at least rare in our whole galaxy.
botfiddler t1_iwmkhk3 wrote
Reply to comment by bernard_cernea in My predictions for the next 30 years by z0rm
They will agree to it, there will be no other option. That's exactly your strawman: Saying they won't want what they could get, and what they want they can't ever have. But it works if we reverse it. They want and will take what they can get, and get over what they can't have.
botfiddler t1_iwmjtcv wrote
Reply to comment by many-such-cases in A typical thought process by Kaarssteun
Thought about it a bit more:
- There will always be niches for humans expressing their individuality.
- The interests of some celebrities or special humans don't outweigh all the positives.
- Computer games are essentially creating artificial problems, for us to solve and feel satisfaction, so that the solution. You should also get into it, I guess.
botfiddler t1_iwmf7x3 wrote
Reply to comment by many-such-cases in A typical thought process by Kaarssteun
This has already been addressed by other people. It will enable more content and more competition, it's not the end of human creativity. Also, if a AI could make up the best art, entertainment or VR worlds for everyone, then that wouldn't be a tragedy. Who cares? Many of the employed "artists" were gatekeeping content creation at least during the last decade or so anyways (Marvel, Disney, DC Comics, ...). Yeah, tragic for the Tumbler Mafia 🤷♂️
botfiddler t1_iwmdisj wrote
Reply to comment by bernard_cernea in My predictions for the next 30 years by z0rm
The noise of electrical motors isn't that high, and they might land and start from buildings or special stations. Congestion and accidents are not an issue if it's expensive and with autopilot. They won't be passenger controlled. I don't understand you last point.
botfiddler t1_iwlqydq wrote
Reply to comment by PanzerKommander in A typical thought process by Kaarssteun
Good plan. But we're humans, we'll jump to the next one after we're done with the current one.
botfiddler t1_iwlq64z wrote
Reply to comment by many-such-cases in A typical thought process by Kaarssteun
Your standing in your own way. Some people want to be unhappy, it's either by choice or maybe depression. You can't find fulfilment in a hobby because a machine can do it better? We aren't there yet, and this is also messed up way of thinking about hobbies.
botfiddler t1_iwlogur wrote
Reply to comment by gynoidgearhead in A typical thought process by Kaarssteun
That's not capitalism, that the economy, state bureaucracy, and competing entities like countries.
botfiddler t1_iwieute wrote
Reply to My predictions for the next 30 years by z0rm
Your predictions would be more convincing if you had some sources, maybe a little website with snippets from sources on which each prediction is based. Otherwise everyone will see it as a mixed bag where they agree with some and disagree with others, while wondering who you are that we should care.
Anyways, virtual reality, holodeck alike mixed reality, comes in surprisingly fast: https://youtu.be/23RS3RAg16k
botfiddler t1_iwhrkth wrote
Reply to comment by Kinexity in My predictions for the next 30 years by z0rm
You probably won't know when we reached LEV. No one claims that there will be one or some treatments and then we'll know that we'll live forever. It currently looks quite good to me. That there isn't more research and hasn't been during the last few decades is also one of the biggest scandals of our time.
botfiddler t1_iwhqeu6 wrote
Reply to comment by Ivanliuks in My predictions for the next 30 years by z0rm
Maybe there will be fewer cars and personal vehicles, but not anywhere close to zero. Maybe more so for bigger cars and city dwellers. Cybertruck is made for land owners. Poorer city folk will walk, go with a bike or some scooter, aside from public transportation. Others will fly in electric drone-like devices with auto-pilot.
botfiddler t1_iwhpnbg wrote
Reply to comment by roidbro1 in My predictions for the next 30 years by z0rm
I had similar thoughts. The future will be a mix out of post-apocalyptic and things which look now like scifi. However, we probably won't have widespread famines in the developed world that fast. Same for a global breakdown. I also don't believe in a complete breakdown of supply chains and end of shipping. Shipping and using a global economy is energy efficient per ton. It might end, when we have more automatization in the developed world or low wage refugees, or both.
There will be pockets of technological progress. The people working on self-driving at Tesla are only 150 engineers.
Tipping points being reached doesn't mean the bad things happen directly after that point, only that it is to late to reverse it, either with current knowledge and technology or in definitely.
Global mass migrations are also just lefty propaganda. You can't have lack of food and people wandering around for hundreds of miles. It's not possible. Same for the openess of target countries. Also, it probably wouldn't matter, only create more inequality and a bigger market for surveillance and weapons.
botfiddler t1_iwhn184 wrote
Reply to comment by Takadeshi in My predictions for the next 30 years by z0rm
It's not about everyone using these, but a minority who can afford it and maybe needs to be somewhere. Time can be more important than anything else.
botfiddler t1_iwhmv8w wrote
Reply to comment by everything_in_sync in My predictions for the next 30 years by z0rm
This is what I meant, but drones is such a bad term anyways, since the drones in nature die after flying.
botfiddler t1_iwh0mt5 wrote
Reply to My predictions for the next 30 years by z0rm
Many men will have some form of synthetic girlfriends, like animated dolls, much earlier. It might take 15-20 years to also have them doing all or most chores at home. Many childcare tasks would be easier and many chores could be done by other robots. Combine that with guys being able to work from home, live on capital returns or getting UBI.
botfiddler t1_iwgzrdf wrote
Reply to comment by bernard_cernea in My predictions for the next 30 years by z0rm
Not necessarily as cars, which would be a hybrid, yeah that would be stupid. But short range flying vehicles make sense. I think your argument is about steering, but they would fly automatically. I think it makes more sense to have them for some people which would be flying from suburban areas or between one side of the city to another.
botfiddler t1_iwgsned wrote
You would need to know every random event in our universe and replicate that in your simulation. Hmm.
botfiddler t1_iwcapuc wrote
I'm glad to see that. That's going to help bringing more independent creators to the audience. The big western companies in comics destroyed themselves anyways.
botfiddler t1_iwcaawy wrote
Reply to comment by debil_666 in AI Drew This Gorgeous Comic Series, But You'd Never Know It by rpaul9578
Many western comics I saw recently are Calart or some weird cyberpunk inspired style with many POCs and ugly women.
botfiddler t1_iw8rrvt wrote
Reply to comment by SurroundSwimming3494 in The CEO of OpenAI had dropped hints that GPT-4, due in a few months, is such an upgrade from GPT-3 that it may seem to have passed The Turing Test by lughnasadh
Lex Friedman interview, YouTube.
botfiddler t1_iw6vj4m wrote
Reply to comment by RobleyTheron in The CEO of OpenAI had dropped hints that GPT-4, due in a few months, is such an upgrade from GPT-3 that it may seem to have passed The Turing Test by lughnasadh
>Moravec's paradox is the observation by artificial intelligence and robotics researchers that, contrary to traditional assumptions, reasoning requires very little computation, but sensorimotor and perception skills require enormous computational resources. The principle was articulated by Hans Moravec, Rodney Brooks, Marvin Minsky and others in the 1980s. Source: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moravec's_paradox
The current research solves perception, imagination and anticipation. I'm not sure to which extent reasoning is already solved, but it isn't at zero. I think it will be done with knowledge graphs.
botfiddler t1_ix40buf wrote
Reply to COP27: Climate costs deal struck but no fossil fuel progress by filosoful
Now retired capital owners can move to the poor countries for getting low taxes, and the developed countries should tax immigrant workers higher. Problem solved.