As long as this doesn't have real impact or cause the quality of results to be pushed back by years than I'm ok.

But I would trust a logical AI than an emotional person on average.

Why are people so against this ? Years ago people wanted this now this comment section is " automated cars or anything automated is dumb just put out static rails and make every use it 🙄.

But the cycle of new job's wont last forever it's just easy to say that now. I always disagreed with this.

Let's comeback in late 2026 and let's see just how wrong or right you are.

2024

1. Still no AGI but big improvements again

2. MIX reailty headsets is seeing a shift over smartphones.

3. Same prediction but a lot more robot cars or level 4

4. Same with Quantum computer

2025

1. Still no AGI but big improvements again but close to AGI

2.MIx reailty headsets are starting to rival smartphones in terms of popularity. A lot more people compared to 2022 are wanting the next or a mix headset instead of a smartphone.

3. Same as 2024

4. Same as 2024

2026

1. AGI for the first time happens.

2. Smartphones are no longer the number one device for the first time. More people want a mix headset over a smartphone .

3. 50/50 of self driving level 5

4. Same no quantum computer replacement

2027

1. AGI is becoming a service or open source so 50/50

2. Even as mixed headsets are now going to predictably replace smartphones when it comes to uses, smartphones are not going down without a fight in this transition. The simplicity of a smartphone is what is slowing down the headsets.

3. Self driving level 5 80% confident

4. Same as before

2028

1. If AGI comes true rather it be a service or open source in 2027 than in 2028 I predict it will soon be implemented in other areas in the robotics and all other industries to the point where a replacement to the current economy is taken a lot more seriously.

2. Companies are announcing or implying that they will soon discontinue there smartphones. Majority of people are now using headsets.

3. More level 5

4. Same

2029

1. New economy is taking place

Half of the comments I read want a quantum computer to replace there laptops or run games because it can solve problems that would take longer than a traditional computer.

2023

1.No AGI but some more big improvements in AI

2. 50/50 chance that apples mix reailty headseat will be good enough to replace a smartphone. I'm not an apple fan but if some of the rumours are ture it can. 80 % confident that visuals and sound can. But the battery life will be the make it or beak it moment. If the battery life is good enough than I am confident we will see a quick increase in sales and a lot more people using it. Or companies will soon offer something close or something similar for a cheaper price.

3.No self driving but automated level 4 or robot taxi's will be more common.

4. No quantum computer that's good enough to replace your average smartphone, laptop ect.

I don't think it will take decades. I forgot the reason but let's come back on December 31st, 2039, and see how far nanotech has come.

Why does this matter ? How does us being machines change anything ?

Unless you think climite change is going to collapse society in less than 25 years then we will get there before climite collapse.

I think because of exponential progress we can get there before 2030 as a start a least so lets check back in December 31 2029 and see whose right.

Your missing the point any robot or machine that is capable of navigating in a dynamic environment is very important.

They haven't really explained why it going to take more than 10 years for full self driving. Any Predictions that ignore exponential progress I take a lot less seriously.

I thought you can't objectively measure consciousness.

I think he knows that but I think he's trying to say that he can make his own challenges that he would rather have. In stead of being forced to deal with other ones.

I think any time before Full Dive VR will be considered the physiological dark ages.