tanrgith

tanrgith t1_j25xez5 wrote

They never were and they won't be anytime soon

Like, even if BO manages to get their New Glenn rocket flying within the next few years and SpaceX fails at making Starship, it would take years and years before BO builds up the experience and capability to launch rockets at the kind of cadence that SpaceX is able to do it right now

And if SpaceX's Starship actually becomes operational and can be launched for less than a 100 million (which is far more than any reasonable estimate for a fully reusable rocket system), then no one is touching SpaceX for decades

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tanrgith t1_iyjr3at wrote

On the topic - I'm not trying to say that I'm 100% sure that what PCRM are claiming haven't happened. Neuralink have already admitted that some animals have died for instance

However activist groups are rarely the most objective or trustworthy sources of information. And when you have a scenario where PCRM are the only ones claiming to have seen the documents that they're basing their claims on, and the big news publication are actually holding off running their own articles titled "Elon Musk's Neuralink implants killed 15 of 23 animals and caused them to vomit themselves to death" despite the crazy amount of clicks that would get them, then I'm gonna remain skeptical

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tanrgith t1_iyjnf2k wrote

The problem with articles like the one you linked to is that all it really does is repeat what the activist group have claimed. They're not independently verifying it or breaking any kind of new news.

The article is basically just "here's what an activist group is claiming"

It's a major issue with modern news most of the time. Normally you'll have one source claiming something, and then every news site on the internet will make their own slightly reworded version about what that one source is claiming, without actually do any kind of investigation into the validity of the claims.

Though in the case of these claims made by PCRM, most of the big news sites seem to have opted to not report on the claims. Which to me is a pretty big warning sign about the validity of the people making the claims, especially when it's from some random activist group

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tanrgith t1_iyeblrr wrote

Honestly feel like that'll mostly depend on how quickly they transition away from only doing missions when they have an SLS ready

If they only do a mission when an SLS is ready, then they'll be limited to having very few people on the Moon, which then makes it impossible to do anything at scale. Stagnation would quickly set in and people would lose interest

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tanrgith t1_iud0188 wrote

That argument just makes no sense at all.

Public sector spaceflight have historically been far more inefficient and costly than modern commercial space flight, and public sector spaceflight also didn't have any plans to provide innovative new alternatives to the ground based monopolistic ISP's

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tanrgith t1_iu9bofm wrote

We don't really need a steady state any time soon though. Our solar system alone has enough resources to cover the needs of hundreds of billions of people

It's mostly down to a matter of utilizing resources more efficiently that we do currently

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tanrgith t1_isvc9ds wrote

Anyone can create semiconductors, however, creating the most cutting edge high end semiconductors is extremely difficult. So much so that there's only 1 company (ASML) that can actually make those EUV Lithography machines. And unfortunately for China, that's a Dutch company that's banned from exporting those machines to China

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tanrgith t1_isv99gy wrote

Of course it's not. There will always be territorial claims that lead to tension

While we're a 1 planet species, that tension will occur between nations. Once we become a multi planet species, the tension will shift to being between planets. Once we become an interstellar species, the tension will shift to being between interstellar nations/organizations

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