I've been a SE for quite a lot longer than that and I firmly believe most, if not all, SE jobs will be gone in the next few years.

But that's only the start, many other desk-based jobs from very different fields will be gone too.

I really feel that in the next 6+ years most people will be out of a job.

What's worrying is that AI does not provide a mechanism to feed, cloth and heal those people who will no longer have a place to work for free.

Even then, humans have to be needed. Hobbies for hobby sake, count for very little if they don't get appreciated or used by others.

No they couldn't. They would never give off enough illumination by orders of magnitude.

These type of bar charts where the not just the height but the width of each bar changes are misleading as psychologically, you'll be looking at the area not the height. They should not be used IMHO.

Experts: We say the obvious

Eh? I'm not down at all. I just asked someone their personal opinion how they think they will progress in the near term now that we both agreed it had stagnated. Imagine "GPT-3" is a big vague too.

What do you see as fruits of that progress?

I think voice assistants plateaued about 3 years ago after very rapid initial progress.

Agreed, Google's is best.

How a replicator would change the world is almost impossible to comprehend. It will be the most profound change to humans ever.

""In a nutshell, our theory is that consciousness developed as a memory system that is used by our unconscious brain to help us flexibly and creatively imagine the future and plan accordingly,""

That doesn't come close to an explanation.

Price needs to come down

It's only half a technology without a moving floor and only suits a fraction of current games where you don't move.